Croatia - Prva HNLStadion Gradski vrtData current as of October 16, 2026

Osijek vs Gorica: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Osijek vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Osijek plays Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stadion Gradski vrt.

Recent form

Osijek has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Gorica has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Osijek scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.56. Gorica scores 0.67 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Osijek's games and 44% of Gorica's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 44%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Osijek has the higher season xG average, 1.91 to 1.25 per game. Osijek takes 17.4 shots per game, while Gorica takes 10.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Osijek leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Gorica leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Osijek's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Gorica, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Prva HNL games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.67)
(3.75)
(4.40)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2Goals scored / game0.67
OsijekGorica
1.56Goals allowed / game1.56
OsijekGorica
55%Average possession46%
OsijekGorica
5.56Shots on target / game3.11
OsijekGorica

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.44Shots per game10.33
OsijekGorica
5.56Shots on target3.11
OsijekGorica
11.5%Shot conversion6.5%
OsijekGorica
55%Possession46%
OsijekGorica
1.91xG for1.25
OsijekGorica
1.56xG against1.86
OsijekGorica

Shooting quality

Osijek: DominantGorica: Balanced
OsijekGorica
Accuracy (shots on target)32%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Osijek is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Osijek · 1 pts / game - Gorica

Osijek
WLWDL
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Gorica
DLDWL
Season result split
11% W22% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-6
0.56 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
LLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Osijek is 199% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Osijek · 0.67 goals / game - Gorica

Osijek scoring profile: very strong

Osijek scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

Gorica scoring profile: mixed

Gorica scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 games), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).

18Goals scored (season)6
OsijekGorica
14Goals conceded (season)14
OsijekGorica
3.56Average goals per game2.22
OsijekGorica
9Goals scored (last 5)4
OsijekGorica
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
OsijekGorica

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal56%
OsijekGorica
44%2 goals11%
OsijekGorica
33%3 goals0%
OsijekGorica
22%4 goals0%
OsijekGorica

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal78%
OsijekGorica
44%2 goals67%
OsijekGorica
33%3 goals11%
OsijekGorica
22%4 goals0%
OsijekGorica

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time0%
OsijekGorica
0%BTTS in both halves0%
OsijekGorica
33%Scored in both halves0%
OsijekGorica

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
OsijekGorica
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
OsijekGorica
60%BTTS - last 540%
OsijekGorica

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
OsijekGorica
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
OsijekGorica
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
OsijekGorica

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
OsijekGorica
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
OsijekGorica
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
OsijekGorica

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Osijek is 406% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / game - Osijek · 0.33 pts / game - Gorica

Osijek - half-time state
44% leading33% draw22% trailing
Gorica - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per game (1st half)0.33
OsijekGorica
1.33Goals scored (1st half)0
OsijekGorica
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)1
OsijekGorica
1.89Average goals (1st half)1
OsijekGorica
67%Clean sheet before half-time33%
OsijekGorica
33%No goal before half-time100%
OsijekGorica

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)1.22
OsijekGorica
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
OsijekGorica
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
OsijekGorica
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.22
OsijekGorica
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
OsijekGorica
56%No goal after half-time44%
OsijekGorica

Osijek - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
15
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Gorica - second-half results

11% W89% D0% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Osijek - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Gorica - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.41.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Osijek
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-52%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Osijek

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 39% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

OsijekLigaGorica
Average goals per game▲ 3.563.16▼ 2.22
Both teams scored▼ 44%55%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 67%66%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 44%26%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%75%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%80%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.93
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defensive advantage
+36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Osijek's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Gorica. Games average 1.40 goals, and both teams scored in 20% of them.

FAQ

When do Osijek and Gorica play?

Osijek face Gorica on October 17, 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Gradski vrt. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Osijek and Gorica?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Osijek won 2, Gorica won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Osijek vs Gorica?

Osijek score 2.00 goals per game on average and Gorica 0.67. The Prva HNL average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Osijek's matches and 44% of Gorica's.

What form are Osijek and Gorica in?

Over the last 5 games Osijek have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gorica 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Osijek vs Gorica?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Osijek vs Gorica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.