Osnabrück vs Magdeburg: match statistics

Both teams started the season with a defeat, but Osnabrück scored 3 goals in that match, compared with just 1 for Magdeburg. In their last five fixtures, the hosts have scored 11 goals, clearly more than the visitors’ 7, while both sides recorded identical runs of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Osnabrück’s defense remains a concern, however, having conceded 12 goals in their last five matches—3 more than Magdeburg. The visitors have also offered little defensive stability, conceding 6 goals in their only match of the current season. Home advantage and Osnabrück’s greater consistency in front of goal support a narrow home win, although the high number of goals conceded increases the likelihood of a draw.

The strongest signal for goals at both ends comes from the teams’ current form: Osnabrück recorded BTTS - Yes in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Magdeburg did so in 60%, averaging 2.2 and 1.4 goals scored respectively. Both defenses regularly allow opponents to create chances, as over the same period the hosts conceded an average of 2.4 goals and the visitors 1.8. Their attacking potential is supported by similar xG figures from the last five matches: 1.47 for Osnabrück and 1.50 for Magdeburg, while their xG conceded stands at 1.78 and 1.62 respectively. BTTS also aligns with the league profile, where both teams scored in 67% of matches, making a scenario with at least one goal for each team more likely than BTTS - No. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Osnabrück’s last five matches produced an average of 4.6 goals, with the team scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.4 per game. Over the same period, Magdeburg averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, meaning their matches also featured an average of 3.2 goals. The chance-quality data confirms their attacking potential: average xG stands at 1.47 for the hosts and 1.50 for the visitors, while xG conceded is 1.78 and 1.62, respectively. Both teams regularly allow opponents to create chances, and both teams scored in 80% of Osnabrück’s last five matches and in 60% of Magdeburg’s games. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected 3.16 goals provides a clear margin above this line, even under a more cautious match scenario.

Osnabrück have averaged 2.2 goals scored across their last five matches, while Magdeburg have conceded 1.8 goals per game over the same period. However, the hosts have not made strong starts to their matches: they were behind at the break in 60% of their recent outings, while the score was level at half-time in only 20%. Magdeburg also rarely build a lead before the break, averaging 0.5 goals in the first half and losing it in 50% of their matches, which increases the likelihood of an early stalemate. After half-time, Osnabrück average 1.2 goals, while the visitors concede 1.0, making an HT/FT draw/home win the most likely scenario.