Ospitaletto vs Giana Erminio: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Ospitaletto has a high percentage of draws at home (44%), which is the highest rate among all possible home results. Giana Erminio shows better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) and an impressive clean sheet percentage away (56%), indicating solid defense. The visitors also have an advantage in average ball possession (53% vs 49%) and a better goal difference away. Ospitaletto can rely on a slight home advantage and better xG statistics at home (1.65 vs 1.27 away), but their poor form in recent home matches (dddw) and high draw percentage suggest a share of the points. Considering all factors, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
Ospitaletto vs Giana Erminio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ospitaletto play Giana Erminio in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Ospitaletto: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Giana Erminio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ospitaletto scores 1.08 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Giana Erminio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ospitaletto 53%, Giana Erminio 39%. Over 2.5: Ospitaletto 45%, Giana Erminio 32%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Ospitaletto has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.38. Ospitaletto: 11.1 shots per match, Giana Erminio: 10.1.
Match halves
Ospitaletto: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.66. Giana Erminio: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Ospitaletto: 76-90+ (9 goals). Giana Erminio: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Ospitaletto has a high percentage of draws at home (44%), which is the highest rate among all possible home results. Giana Erminio shows better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) and an impressive clean sheet percentage away (56%), indicating solid defense. The visitors also have an advantage in average ball possession (53% vs 49%) and a better goal difference away. Ospitaletto can rely on a slight home advantage and better xG statistics at home (1.65 vs 1.27 away), but their poor form in recent home matches (dddw) and high draw percentage suggest a share of the points. Considering all factors, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ospitaletto | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ospitaletto is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 1 goals / match - Giana Erminio
Giana Erminio is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 1.03 goals / match - Giana Erminio
Ospitaletto scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Giana Erminio scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ospitaletto
Over / Under — Giana Erminio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Giana Erminio is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 1.18 pts / match - Giana Erminio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ospitaletto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Giana Erminio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ospitaletto
Giana Erminio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Ospitaletto | Liga | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ospitaletto 0 - 0 - 1 Giana Erminio. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ospitaletto vs Giana Erminio?
The Serie C Group A match finished Ospitaletto 3:2 Giana Erminio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ospitaletto vs Giana Erminio?
Ospitaletto score 1.08 goals per game on average and Giana Erminio 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Ospitaletto's matches and 39% of Giana Erminio's.
What form are Ospitaletto and Giana Erminio in?
Over the last 5 games Ospitaletto have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Giana Erminio 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ospitaletto vs Giana Erminio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.