Ospitaletto vs Lecco: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested encounter between Ospitaletto and Lecco. The hosts have displayed solid form in their last five matches with a 2-2-1 record and only three goals conceded, proving their defensive stability. Lecco boasts a better overall record (11 wins) and a higher away win percentage (44%); however, having scored only 3 goals in their last five games, they signal potential offensive struggles. Key factors include Lecco's possession advantage (52% vs 49%) and lower percentage of missed chances (22% vs 33%), but Ospitaletto holds a better shot conversion rate (8% vs 9%) and higher average xG in home matches (1.74 vs 1.13). Given the identical goal difference (+2) and balanced form, a draw appears the most probable outcome, though the hosts retain a slight edge due to home advantage and superior offensive efficiency in recent weeks.
Ospitaletto vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ospitaletto played against Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Ospitaletto has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Lecco has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ospitaletto scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.11. Lecco scores 1.26 and allows 0.58. Games in this league average 2.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Ospitaletto's games and 32% of Lecco's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 26%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ospitaletto has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.33 per game. Ospitaletto takes 11.8 shots per game, while Lecco takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Ospitaletto leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Lecco leads at halftime in 47% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ospitaletto's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Lecco, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.22 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested encounter between Ospitaletto and Lecco. The hosts have displayed solid form in their last five matches with a 2-2-1 record and only three goals conceded, proving their defensive stability. Lecco boasts a better overall record (11 wins) and a higher away win percentage (44%); however, having scored only 3 goals in their last five games, they signal potential offensive struggles. Key factors include Lecco's possession advantage (52% vs 49%) and lower percentage of missed chances (22% vs 33%), but Ospitaletto holds a better shot conversion rate (8% vs 9%) and higher average xG in home matches (1.74 vs 1.13). Given the identical goal difference (+2) and balanced form, a draw appears the most probable outcome, though the hosts retain a slight edge due to home advantage and superior offensive efficiency in recent weeks.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ospitaletto | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ospitaletto is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Ospitaletto · 1.4 pts / game - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Ospitaletto · 1.26 goals / game - Lecco
Lecco is 91% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Ospitaletto · 0.58 goals / game - Lecco
Ospitaletto scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 meczów).
Lecco scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ospitaletto
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Ospitaletto · 1.89 pts / game - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ospitaletto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ospitaletto
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Ospitaletto | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.21 | 2.22 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 31% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ospitaletto's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lecco. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Ospitaletto 1:1 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
Ospitaletto score 1.11 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.26. The Serie C Group A average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Ospitaletto's matches and 32% of Lecco's.
What form are Ospitaletto and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Ospitaletto have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lecco 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.