Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between teams in similar form. Ospitaletto shows better effectiveness at home (36% win rate, goal difference +3), with a higher xG (1.74 vs 1.36) and better shot conversion (8% vs 9% despite fewer attempts). However, Lumezzane has slightly better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG) and a higher clean sheet percentage away (42%). The hosts fail to score less frequently at home (27% FTS vs 33% for the visitors), which speaks in their favor. Considering both teams' high draw percentages (36% for the hosts, 25% for the visitors) and the small differences in key statistics, the most likely scenario seems to be a share of the points, although the hosts have a slight advantage due to playing at their own stadium.
Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ospitaletto played against Lumezzane in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Ospitaletto has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Lumezzane has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ospitaletto scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.04. Lumezzane scores 1.09 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Ospitaletto's games and 52% of Lumezzane's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 35%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ospitaletto has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.40 per game. Ospitaletto takes 11.7 shots per game, while Lumezzane takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Ospitaletto leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Lumezzane leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ospitaletto's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Lumezzane, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between teams in similar form. Ospitaletto shows better effectiveness at home (36% win rate, goal difference +3), with a higher xG (1.74 vs 1.36) and better shot conversion (8% vs 9% despite fewer attempts). However, Lumezzane has slightly better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG) and a higher clean sheet percentage away (42%). The hosts fail to score less frequently at home (27% FTS vs 33% for the visitors), which speaks in their favor. Considering both teams' high draw percentages (36% for the hosts, 25% for the visitors) and the small differences in key statistics, the most likely scenario seems to be a share of the points, although the hosts have a slight advantage due to playing at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ospitaletto | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lumezzane is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Ospitaletto · 1.6 pts / game - Lumezzane
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lumezzane is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Ospitaletto · 1.09 goals / game - Lumezzane
Ospitaletto is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Ospitaletto · 1.22 goals / game - Lumezzane
Ospitaletto scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Lumezzane keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
Lumezzane scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ospitaletto
Over / Under - Lumezzane
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lumezzane is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Ospitaletto · 1.35 pts / game - Lumezzane
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ospitaletto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lumezzane - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ospitaletto
Lumezzane
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Ospitaletto | Liga | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.04 | 2.26 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ospitaletto's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lumezzane. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
The Serie C Group A match finished Ospitaletto 1:2 Lumezzane. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
Ospitaletto score 1.00 goals per game on average and Lumezzane 1.09. The Serie C Group A average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ospitaletto's matches and 52% of Lumezzane's.
What form are Ospitaletto and Lumezzane in?
Over the last 5 games Ospitaletto have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lumezzane 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.