Oulu vs HJK: match statistics
Oulu vs HJK: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Oulu played against HJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on October 12, 2026. Venue: Raatin stadion. Final score: 3:4.
Recent form
Oulu has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. HJK has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Oulu scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.12. HJK scores 1.73 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Oulu's games and 42% of HJK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 58%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
HJK has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.23 per game. Oulu takes 10.5 shots per game, while HJK takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Oulu leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. HJK leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Oulu's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For HJK, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK sit 3rd and have picked up 8 points in their last 5 matches, while fifth-placed Oulu have collected 4 points and scored just 2 goals. The visitors also hold a clear attacking edge: away from home, they average 1.46 goals from an xG of 1.60, while Oulu score 1.00 goals per game at home from an xG of 1.17. HJK average 13.85 shots away from home, including 4.31 on target, compared with Oulu’s 9.85 shots and 3.54 on target at home. However, the hosts could make life difficult for their opponents, as they concede an average of just 0.92 goals on home soil, fewer than HJK’s 1.08 away from home. HJK’s advantage in chance creation and recent form points to an away win, although Oulu’s solid defense means a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in fewer than half of their matches this season: 42% for Oulu and 46% for HJK, compared with the league average of 49%. The strongest case for BTTS - No is Oulu’s recent scoring form: they have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in only 20% of those games. HJK also has periods without a goal, having failed to score in 31% of its matches this season, although its average xG of 1.60 is slightly higher than Oulu’s 1.53. The teams’ averages of 4.67 and 4.31 shots on target per match increase the chance of goals at both ends, so this is not an outright pick. Nevertheless, Oulu’s poor recent finishing and the season-long BTTS rates point towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Oulu matches average 2.92 goals, while HJK matches average 2.54; however, both teams’ recent results point to a lower goal total. In their last five matches, Oulu scored 2 goals and conceded 4, while HJK scored 5 and also conceded 4. The 3.5-goal line was not exceeded in 67% of Oulu matches and as many as 85% of HJK matches, making this a stronger combined signal than the data for lower lines. Although their attacking xG averages are 1.53 and 1.60, respectively, Oulu’s recent scoring form limits the expected total to around 2.45 goals. Therefore, Under 3.5 offers the strongest edge among the available lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most compelling outcome based on current form: both teams were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, and neither held a Half-Time lead during that period. Oulu did not score before half-time in any of those five games, while HJK averaged just 0.2 goals, further weighing against an early breakthrough. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the visitors: over their last five matches, they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded in the second half, compared with 0.4 scored and 0.4 conceded for Oulu. HJK also earned an average of 1.6 points per match during this period, against Oulu’s 0.8, making an HJK win after a level first half the strongest individual HT/FT scenario. Confidence in this pick is tempered by the hosts’ season-long results: Oulu have won 58% of their matches, compared with HJK’s 38%, so the other outcomes retain a significant share of the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Oulu | HJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
HJK is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Oulu · 2.2 pts / game - HJK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 66% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - Oulu · 1.73 goals / game - HJK
Oulu scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 games), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 games).
HJK scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 games), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oulu
Over / Under - HJK
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HJK is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - Oulu · 1.58 pts / game - HJK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
HJK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Oulu
HJK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Oulu | Liga | HJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.15 | 2.46 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 43% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Oulu's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against HJK. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Oulu vs HJK?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Oulu 3:4 HJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oulu and HJK?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Oulu won 1, HJK won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oulu vs HJK?
Oulu score 1.04 goals per game on average and HJK 1.73. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Oulu's matches and 42% of HJK's.
What form are Oulu and HJK in?
Over the last 5 games Oulu have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and HJK 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oulu vs HJK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.