Oulu vs TPS: match statistics
Oulu vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Oulu played against TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Oulu has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. TPS has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Oulu scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.00. TPS scores 1.50 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Oulu's games and 67% of TPS's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 33%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
TPS has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.33 per game. Oulu takes 11.7 shots per game, while TPS takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Oulu leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. TPS leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Oulu's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For TPS, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.27 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oulu has won 100% of home matches and kept 100% clean sheets, not conceding a single goal at home (0 conceded on average), while scoring 1.5 goals per game on average, with xG 1.2 and 4 shots on target per match. TPS have not lost any away game, but also have not won — 0 wins and 100% draws — scoring 1.5 goals on average with xG 1.66, 13.5 shots and 5 shots on target. Oulu’s main advantage is a compact home defense (0 goals conceded), whereas TPS’s strength is generating more chances and a higher xG (1.66 vs 1.2), giving the visitors a realistic chance to break through. TPS still concedes 1.5 goals on average away, and Oulu has a higher shot conversion at home (15% vs 11%), so I predict a draw as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is that TPS has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100%, while Oulu has 50% for the season and only 40% in the last 5 matches, which together support the possibility of both teams scoring. Oulu’s defense has looked weaker in recent weeks: seasonally they concede 0.5 goals per game, but in the last 5 matches they average 1.2 goals conceded and their xG against is 1.60, suggesting greater vulnerability than the seasonal average indicates. TPS on the road generates xG 1.66 and in the last 5 matches scores an average 1.6 goals, with an average of 13.5 shots and 5.0 shots on target, so they have realistic outputs to find a way past Oulu’s goal. In league context, the overall BTTS rate is 47% with an average 2.18 goals per game, but an additional risk signal is that Oulu has 50% clean sheets at home this season, which limits confidence in the forecast. In summary: due to TPS’s 100% BTTS, the visitors’ 1.66 offensive xG and Oulu’s increase to 1.2 average goals conceded in the last 5 matches, I assess BTTS probability at 75% (Yes) versus 25% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model values expected goals at 1.21 for Oulu and 1.63 for TPS, totaling 2.84 goals — above the league average of 2.18. Seasonal data shows Over 1.5 occurred in 75% of Oulu’s matches and 100% of TPS’s matches, while BTTS is 100% for TPS and 50% for Oulu, which further supports a minimum two-goal scenario. TPS generates more xG (1.66 vs 1.31) and more shots (13.5 vs 10.25), although their conversion rate is lower (11% vs 15%), indicating continued chance creation. Based on total xG=2.84 our model estimates ~78% probability for Over 1.5, ~54% for Over 2.5 and ~32% for Over 3.5; the strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5. I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the safest line, combining high xG, seasonal Over 1.5 rates (75%/100%) and TPS’s BTTS tendency.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Oulu has a clear halftime edge: they led at the break in 50% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 50.0) and accumulated 8 points in first halves versus 1 point for TPS (HTPoints_home = 8.0 vs HTPoints_away = 1.0). The home side virtually never conceded before the break (concededAVGHT_home = 0.0, seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 100.0), while TPS concedes on average 1.0 goals by halftime and is trailing at the break in 50% of cases (concededAVGHT_away = 1.0, trailingAtHTPercentage_away = 50.0). TPS records higher xG (1.66 vs 1.31) and more shots (13.5 vs 10.25), but this does not translate into away wins — Oulu wins 75% of home matches and averages 2.5 points per home game (winPercentage_home = 75.0, seasonPPG_home = 2.5), whereas TPS has 0% wins away (winPercentage_away = 0.0). Oulu also tends to score immediately after the break (3 goals in 46–60 min.), while TPS scores more often late (2 goals in 76–90), which increases the probability that the home side’s lead at the break will be maintained to full-time — hence 1/1 is selected as the strongest scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Oulu | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
TPS is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Oulu · 2.2 pts / game - TPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oulu is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.71 goals / game - Oulu · 1.5 goals / game - TPS
TPS is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Oulu · 0.83 goals / game - TPS
Oulu scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
TPS scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oulu
Over / Under - TPS
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oulu is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Oulu · 1.5 pts / game - TPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
TPS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Oulu
TPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Oulu | Liga | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.27 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 34% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Oulu vs TPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Oulu 1:0 TPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oulu vs TPS?
Oulu score 1.71 goals per game on average and TPS 1.50. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Oulu's matches and 67% of TPS's.
What form are Oulu and TPS in?
Over the last 5 games Oulu have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and TPS 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oulu vs TPS?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oulu vs TPS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.