Pacific FC vs Forge FC: match statistics
Pacific FC vs Forge FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pacific FC play Forge FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Pacific FC: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Forge FC: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pacific FC scores 1.08 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. Forge FC scores 1.67 and concedes 0.58. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pacific FC 75%, Forge FC 42%. Over 2.5: Pacific FC 75%, Forge FC 42%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Forge FC has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.18. Pacific FC: 9.8 shots per match, Forge FC: 13.7.
Match halves
Pacific FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Forge FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Pacific FC: 31-45+ (3 goals). Forge FC: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 0-0-4. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I forecast an away win ('2'). Forge FC shows a markedly superior away defense — averaging 0 goals conceded per match and 100% clean sheets on the road — while Pacific FC concedes on average 2.5 goals at home and has no home wins yet (0W, 1D, 2L). The difference in recent form is clear: Forge has 1.6 points per match over the last 5 fixtures and a form string 'dlwwd' with 4 goals scored and 4 conceded, whereas Pacific has only 0.4 PPG and a 'dllld' run with 8 scored and 13 conceded in their last five. xG metrics corroborate the visitors' advantage — Forge’s average xG For is 1.4 versus 1.13 for Pacific, while Pacific’s average xG Against is 1.77 compared to 1.3 for Forge, indicating Pacific allows more high-quality chances. Offensively, Pacific averages 14 shots and 4 on target at home with an 11% conversion (1.5 goals/match), and Forge averages 13 shots and 3 on target away with an 8% conversion (1.0 goals/match); despite Pacific’s better efficiency, Forge’s superiority in defense and points makes them the pick. I estimate 55% chance for Forge, 25% for a draw and 20% for Pacific.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pacific FC | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forge FC is 650% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Pacific FC · 3 pts / match - Forge FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forge FC is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Pacific FC · 1.67 goals / match - Forge FC
Forge FC is 288% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.25 goals / match - Pacific FC · 0.58 goals / match - Forge FC
Pacific FC scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
Forge FC scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Pacific FC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pacific FC
Over / Under — Forge FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forge FC is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Pacific FC · 1.58 pts / match - Forge FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pacific FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pacific FC
Forge FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Pacific FC | Liga | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Pacific FC 0 - 0 - 4 Forge FC. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pacific FC vs Forge FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Pacific FC 0:1 Forge FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pacific FC and Forge FC?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Pacific FC won 0, Forge FC won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pacific FC vs Forge FC?
Pacific FC score 1.08 goals per game on average and Forge FC 1.67. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Pacific FC's matches and 42% of Forge FC's.
What form are Pacific FC and Forge FC in?
Over the last 5 games Pacific FC have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Forge FC 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pacific FC vs Forge FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.