Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden: match statistics
Paderborn displays significantly better form at home with a 62% win rate and impressive recent home performances. The hosts have a positive goal difference (+7) in home matches, while Dynamo Dresden away concedes an average of 1.85 goals and has a negative goal difference (-5). xG statistics show Paderborn's advantage (1.98 vs 1.43), confirming their higher offensive efficiency. Dynamo Dresden wins only 23% of away matches and struggles with clean sheets (8%), making them vulnerable to defeat. Considering all factors, Paderborn is a clear favorite for this match, although Dresden's solid form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG) could make it a close encounter.
Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paderborn played against Dynamo Dresden in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Paderborn has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Dynamo Dresden has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Paderborn scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 1.15. Dynamo Dresden scores 1.69 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Paderborn's games and 77% of Dynamo Dresden's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 77%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paderborn has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.43 per game. Paderborn takes 15.6 shots per game, while Dynamo Dresden takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Paderborn leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Dynamo Dresden leads at halftime in 46% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paderborn's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Dynamo Dresden, it is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn displays significantly better form at home with a 62% win rate and impressive recent home performances. The hosts have a positive goal difference (+7) in home matches, while Dynamo Dresden away concedes an average of 1.85 goals and has a negative goal difference (-5). xG statistics show Paderborn's advantage (1.98 vs 1.43), confirming their higher offensive efficiency. Dynamo Dresden wins only 23% of away matches and struggles with clean sheets (8%), making them vulnerable to defeat. Considering all factors, Paderborn is a clear favorite for this match, although Dresden's solid form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG) could make it a close encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paderborn | Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paderborn is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Paderborn · 1.6 pts / game - Dynamo Dresden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - Paderborn · 1.69 goals / game - Dynamo Dresden
Paderborn scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Dynamo Dresden keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 meczów).
Dynamo Dresden scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paderborn
Over / Under - Dynamo Dresden
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dynamo Dresden is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / game - Paderborn · 1.65 pts / game - Dynamo Dresden
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dynamo Dresden - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paderborn
Dynamo Dresden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Paderborn | Liga | Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.81 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Paderborn's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Dynamo Dresden. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 2:1 Dynamo Dresden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden?
Paderborn score 1.65 goals per game on average and Dynamo Dresden 1.69. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Paderborn's matches and 77% of Dynamo Dresden's.
What form are Paderborn and Dynamo Dresden in?
Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Dynamo Dresden 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden?
The statistical background for Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.