Paderborn has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Hamburger SV has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Paderborn scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.50. Hamburger SV scores 1.00 and allows 2.50. Games in this league average 3.69 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Paderborn's games and 33% of Hamburger SV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 74% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paderborn has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.20 per game. Paderborn takes 13.7 shots per game, while Hamburger SV takes 11.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Paderborn leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.17 goals per game after halftime. Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Paderborn's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Hamburger SV, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.69 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 74% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.37)

(4.06)

(2.88)

-Double chance 1X

-Double chance X2

-BTTS Yes odds

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.83Points per game1.5

PaderbornHamburger SV

0.83Goals scored / game1

PaderbornHamburger SV

1.5Goals allowed / game2.5

PaderbornHamburger SV

1.41xG for1.2

PaderbornHamburger SV

46%Average possession40%

PaderbornHamburger SV

3Shots on target / game3.67

PaderbornHamburger SV

17%Clean sheets17%

PaderbornHamburger SV

33%Both teams scored33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.67Shots per game11.17

PaderbornHamburger SV

3Shots on target3.67

PaderbornHamburger SV

6.1%Shot conversion9%

PaderbornHamburger SV

46%Possession40%

PaderbornHamburger SV

1.41xG for1.2

PaderbornHamburger SV

2.05xG against2

PaderbornHamburger SV

Shooting quality

Paderborn: BalancedHamburger SV: Balanced

	Paderborn	Hamburger SV
Accuracy (shots on target)	22%	33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.10	0.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.28	0.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hamburger SV is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Paderborn · 1.8 pts / game - Hamburger SV

Paderborn

LLWLD

Season result split

17% W33% D50% L

Season (W-D-L)

1-2-3

0.83 pts / game · goal difference -4

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-1-3

0.80 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

1-0-2

Last 5 at home

1-0-2

LWL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 2.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Hamburger SV

LLWWW

Season result split

50% W0% D50% L

Season (W-D-L)

3-0-3

1.50 pts / game · goal difference -9

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-0-2

1.80 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

1-0-2

Last 5 away

1-0-2

LLW

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamburger SV is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

0.83 goals / game - Paderborn · 1 goals / game - Hamburger SV

Paderborn is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Paderborn · 2.5 goals / game - Hamburger SV

Paderborn scoring profile: mixed

Paderborn scores in 33% of games (2 of 6 games), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

Hamburger SV scoring profile: strong

Hamburger SV scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

5Goals scored (season)6

PaderbornHamburger SV

9Goals conceded (season)15

PaderbornHamburger SV

2.33Average goals per game3.5

PaderbornHamburger SV

5Goals scored (last 5)6

PaderbornHamburger SV

9Goals conceded (last 5)13

PaderbornHamburger SV

Paderborn

17%

Clean sheets1 of 6 games

67%

No goal4 of 6 games

Hamburger SV

17%

Clean sheets1 of 6 games

50%

No goal3 of 6 games

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal50%

PaderbornHamburger SV

33%2 goals33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

17%3 goals17%

PaderbornHamburger SV

0%4 goals0%

PaderbornHamburger SV

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%

PaderbornHamburger SV

50%2 goals67%

PaderbornHamburger SV

17%3 goals33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

0%4 goals33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

33%

Paderborn - BTTS2 of 6 games

33%

Hamburger SV - BTTS2 of 6 games

59%

League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%

PaderbornHamburger SV

0%BTTS in both halves17%

PaderbornHamburger SV

17%Scored in both halves33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

40%BTTS - last 540%

PaderbornHamburger SV

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

83%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)100%

PaderbornHamburger SV

67%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)83%

PaderbornHamburger SV

50%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)67%

PaderbornHamburger SV

33%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)50%

PaderbornHamburger SV

0%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)50%

PaderbornHamburger SV

Over / Under - Paderborn

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 83%Under 17%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 67%Under 33%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 33%Under 67%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 0%Under 100%

Over / Under - Hamburger SV

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 83%Under 17%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 67%Under 33%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%

PaderbornHamburger SV

33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%

PaderbornHamburger SV

0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%

PaderbornHamburger SV

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%

PaderbornHamburger SV

50%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%

PaderbornHamburger SV

0%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%

PaderbornHamburger SV

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paderborn is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / game - Paderborn · 0.83 pts / game - Hamburger SV

Paderborn - half-time state

33% leading17% draw50% trailing

Hamburger SV - half-time state

17% leading33% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per game (1st half)0.83

PaderbornHamburger SV

0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.33

PaderbornHamburger SV

0.5Goals conceded (1st half)1.17

PaderbornHamburger SV

1.17Average goals (1st half)1.5

PaderbornHamburger SV

50%Clean sheet before half-time33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

67%No goal before half-time67%

PaderbornHamburger SV

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per game (2nd half)1.33

PaderbornHamburger SV

0.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.67

PaderbornHamburger SV

1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33

PaderbornHamburger SV

1.17Average goals (2nd half)2

PaderbornHamburger SV

33%Clean sheet after half-time33%

PaderbornHamburger SV

83%No goal after half-time50%

PaderbornHamburger SV

Paderborn - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-5

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.17

PPG before half-time

Lead holding52%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hamburger SV - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-5

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-4

Goal difference (2nd half)

0.83

PPG before half-time

Lead holding294%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Paderborn - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	0.40
Goals scored / game	0.8	0.2
Goals allowed / game	0.6	1.2
Average goals per game	1.4	1.4
1 goal	100%	80%
2 goals	40%	60%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	40%	20%
No goal	60%	80%
Goal difference	+1	-5

Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing

2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

Hamburger SV - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.00	1.40
Goals scored / game	0.4	0.8
Goals allowed / game	1.0	1.6
Average goals per game	1.4	2.4
1 goal	80%	100%
2 goals	60%	80%
3 goals	0%	60%
Clean sheet	40%	20%
No goal	60%	40%
Goal difference	-3	-4

Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Paderborn

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Hamburger SV

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.92

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.7 : 1.3

Estimated goal split

home : away

79%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

33%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

17%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

34%

0:0 risk

about 1 in 3 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

Paderborn

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.64

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.03

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

+0.8 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.58

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.55

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

36%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

106%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.03

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

-0.5

Late goals

0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.

Hamburger SV

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.80

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.70

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

+6.5 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.20

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

-0.50

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

71%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

110%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.30

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.

50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

	Paderborn	Liga	Hamburger SV
Average goals per game	▼ 2.33	3.69	▼ 3.50
Both teams scored	▼ 33%	59%	▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▼ 50%	74%	▼ 67%
Clean sheets	▼ 17%	24%	▼ 17%
Goal before half-time	• 83%	83%	• 83%
Goal after half-time	▼ 67%	87%	▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.69

Average goals per game

59%

Both teams scored

74%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

24%

Clean sheets

2.28

Home goals / game

1.41

Away goals / game

+62%

Home attack advantage

+38%

Home defensive advantage

+24%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

83%

1 goal

43%

2 goals

17%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

87%

1 goal

67%

2 goals

44%

3 goals

20%

4 goals

FAQ

When do Paderborn and Hamburger SV play?

Paderborn face Hamburger SV on October 24, 2026 in Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

Paderborn score 0.83 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Paderborn's matches and 33% of Hamburger SV's.

What form are Paderborn and Hamburger SV in?

Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hamburger SV 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?

The statistical background for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.