Paderborn vs Hertha BSC: match statistics
The match shapes up as a close encounter between two teams with similar aspirations, currently sitting in 5th and 6th place in the table respectively. Paderborn displays strong home form with a 64% win rate at home, although their recent overall results (1.4 PPG) indicate a slight dip in performance. Hertha BSC impresses with their away effectiveness – 50% wins and a high 60% clean sheet rate, making them a tough opponent. The key factor is Paderborn's advantage in possession (56% vs 48%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.97 vs the visitors' 1.4 xG away). However, Hertha compensates for this with better shot conversion (16% vs 10%). Considering the recent form of both sides (draws and dropped points) and their similar offensive statistics, the most probable scenario appears to be a draw or a narrow home victory.
Paderborn vs Hertha BSC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paderborn played against Hertha BSC in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 5:2.
Recent form
Paderborn has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Hertha BSC has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Paderborn scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.09. Hertha BSC scores 1.36 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Paderborn's games and 36% of Hertha BSC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 45%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paderborn has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.45 per game. Paderborn takes 15.8 shots per game, while Hertha BSC takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Paderborn leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.95 goals per game after halftime. Hertha BSC leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paderborn's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Hertha BSC, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up as a close encounter between two teams with similar aspirations, currently sitting in 5th and 6th place in the table respectively. Paderborn displays strong home form with a 64% win rate at home, although their recent overall results (1.4 PPG) indicate a slight dip in performance. Hertha BSC impresses with their away effectiveness – 50% wins and a high 60% clean sheet rate, making them a tough opponent. The key factor is Paderborn's advantage in possession (56% vs 48%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.97 vs the visitors' 1.4 xG away). However, Hertha compensates for this with better shot conversion (16% vs 10%). Considering the recent form of both sides (draws and dropped points) and their similar offensive statistics, the most probable scenario appears to be a draw or a narrow home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paderborn | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paderborn is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Paderborn · 1.2 pts / game - Hertha BSC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Paderborn · 1.36 goals / game - Hertha BSC
Paderborn scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Hertha BSC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 meczów).
Hertha BSC scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paderborn
Over / Under - Hertha BSC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hertha BSC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paderborn
Hertha BSC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Paderborn | Liga | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.59 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 58% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 59% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Paderborn's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Hertha BSC. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paderborn vs Hertha BSC?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 5:2 Hertha BSC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Hertha BSC?
Paderborn score 1.50 goals per game on average and Hertha BSC 1.36. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Paderborn's matches and 36% of Hertha BSC's.
What form are Paderborn and Hertha BSC in?
Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hertha BSC 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Hertha BSC?
The statistical background for Paderborn vs Hertha BSC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.