Paderborn vs Nürnberg: match statistics
Paderborn displays solid home form with a 60% win rate and an impressive average of 1.7 goals per match at home, with just 10% of matches without a goal scored. The hosts dominate offensive statistics, generating an average of 17.9 shots and 6 shots on target per match, and their xG of 1.95 confirms the quality of chances created. Nürnberg shows serious problems in away matches, where they lose as many as 67% of matches, without keeping a single clean sheet and scoring an average of only 0.89 goals. A goal difference of -7 in away matches and 44% of matches without scoring a goal demonstrate the offensive weakness of the visitors. Paderborn's advantage in possession (56% vs 50%) and better form in recent home matches (wlwwwwlldw) further support a home win. Considering all indicators, Paderborn has a clear advantage, though the unpredictability of football and the recent form of both teams (1.4 PPG each) leave room for alternative scenarios.
Paderborn vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paderborn played against Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Paderborn has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Nürnberg has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Paderborn scores 1.55 goals per game and allows 1.15. Nürnberg scores 1.15 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Paderborn's games and 60% of Nürnberg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 55%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paderborn has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.53 per game. Paderborn takes 16.3 shots per game, while Nürnberg takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Paderborn leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.05 goals per game after halftime. Nürnberg leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paderborn's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Nürnberg, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.84 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn displays solid home form with a 60% win rate and an impressive average of 1.7 goals per match at home, with just 10% of matches without a goal scored. The hosts dominate offensive statistics, generating an average of 17.9 shots and 6 shots on target per match, and their xG of 1.95 confirms the quality of chances created. Nürnberg shows serious problems in away matches, where they lose as many as 67% of matches, without keeping a single clean sheet and scoring an average of only 0.89 goals. A goal difference of -7 in away matches and 44% of matches without scoring a goal demonstrate the offensive weakness of the visitors. Paderborn's advantage in possession (56% vs 50%) and better form in recent home matches (wlwwwwlldw) further support a home win. Considering all indicators, Paderborn has a clear advantage, though the unpredictability of football and the recent form of both teams (1.4 PPG each) leave room for alternative scenarios.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paderborn | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.55 goals / game - Paderborn · 1.15 goals / game - Nürnberg
Paderborn is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - Paderborn · 1.4 goals / game - Nürnberg
Paderborn scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 meczów).
Nürnberg scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paderborn
Over / Under - Nürnberg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Paderborn · 1.1 pts / game - Nürnberg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paderborn
Nürnberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Paderborn | Liga | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.70 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Paderborn's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Nürnberg. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paderborn vs Nürnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Paderborn 2:1 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paderborn vs Nürnberg?
Paderborn score 1.55 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 1.15. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Paderborn's matches and 60% of Nürnberg's.
What form are Paderborn and Nürnberg in?
Over the last 5 games Paderborn have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nürnberg 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paderborn vs Nürnberg?
The statistical background for Paderborn vs Nürnberg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.