Paide vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics
Paide vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paide play Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nõmme Kalju: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.65 and concedes 0.80. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paide 70%, Nõmme Kalju 50%. Over 2.5: Paide 55%, Nõmme Kalju 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.65. Paide: 13.7 shots per match, Nõmme Kalju: 15.0.
Match halves
Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80. Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Nõmme Kalju: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-4-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X). Both teams show very similar form — in the last 5 matches each averages 2.6 points and has a run of 4 wins and 1 draw. Paide are dangerous offensively at home: 11 goals in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.0 goals per game, 59% possession and 15% shot conversion, while Nõmme Kalju have 10 goals in the last 5, averaging 1.33 on the road, but a higher xG (1.80 vs. the hosts' 1.63). Defensively the advantage lies with the visitors — Nõmme concedes 0.0 goals on average away and has 100% clean sheets, whereas Paide concedes 0.5 at home and has 50% clean sheets, so the hosts' offensive edge is balanced by the visitors' defensive solidity.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Paide · 1.2 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Paide · 0.8 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju
Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paide
Over / Under — Nõmme Kalju
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Paide · 1.75 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paide
Nõmme Kalju
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Paide 2 - 4 - 0 Nõmme Kalju. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Nõmme Kalju?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 1:0 Nõmme Kalju. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Nõmme Kalju?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Paide won 2, Nõmme Kalju won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Nõmme Kalju?
Paide score 1.60 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.65. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Paide's matches and 50% of Nõmme Kalju's.
What form are Paide and Nõmme Kalju in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Nõmme Kalju?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.