Paide vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Paide vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paide play Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.05 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paide 70%, Tallinna FC Flora 42%. Over 2.5: Paide 55%, Tallinna FC Flora 79%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.65. Paide: 13.7 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 17.0.
Match halves
Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-1-1. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 80%.
Match description
Paide are the favorites: at home they have a 100% win rate, scoring 1.67 goals and conceding only 0.33 goals per home match, with clean sheets in 67% of games. In their last 5 matches Paide have 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 11 and conceding 4, averaging 2.6 points per match over that period. Tallinna FC Flora on the road have a 100% loss rate, scoring 0.33 goals and conceding 3 goals per away match; in 67% of away games they fail to score, demonstrating significant inefficiency. Despite higher possession (60% vs 54%) and 1.67 xG away, Flora have only 3 shots on target and a 3% conversion rate on the road, whereas Paide at home average 3.67 shots on target and a 14% conversion, indicating Paide’s superiority in chance conversion. Considering the hosts’ solid defense (0.33 goals conceded at home vs Flora’s 3 conceded away), Paide’s run of 4 wins and the visitors’ dramatic lack of finishing, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Paide · 1.8 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Paide · 2.05 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Paide · 1.11 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paide
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Paide · 1.47 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paide
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.11 | • 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Paide 3 - 1 - 1 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 1:2 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Paide won 3, Tallinna FC Flora won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Paide score 1.60 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 2.05. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Paide's matches and 42% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Paide and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Tallinna FC Flora?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.