Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 23 July 2026

Paide vs Tammeka: match statistics

Paide crest
Paide
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Tammeka crest
Tammeka

Paide vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paide play Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tammeka: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Tammeka scores 1.17 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paide 70%, Tammeka 50%. Over 2.5: Paide 55%, Tammeka 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Paide has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.60. Paide: 13.7 shots per match, Tammeka: 13.9.

Match halves

Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80. Tammeka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Tammeka: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

5 H2H matches: 5-0-0. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 20%.

Match description

Paide should win this match: the hosts sit 3rd and have won 75% of home games, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 50% of matches. In the last 5 matches Paide scored 11 goals and won 3 of 5, averaging 2 points per game in that period and an average home xG of 1.4. Tammeka are 9th, with just 2 wins this season, 2 goals in the last 5 matches and only 0.2 points per game in that span; away they concede 1.8 goals on average and have failed to score in 60% of their matches. The visitors record higher away xG (1.97) and more shots (avg. 18 shots and 6.4 on target), but their conversion rate is just 6% versus Paide’s 13% at home, which limits the visitors’ real threat.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
PaideTammeka
12Shots15
PaideTammeka
3Shots on target4
PaideTammeka
1.6xG1.72
PaideTammeka
6Corners5
PaideTammeka
87Dangerous attacks68
PaideTammeka
10Fouls22
PaideTammeka
4Cards4
PaideTammeka

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match1.17
PaideTammeka
1.4Goals conceded / match1.44
PaideTammeka
54%Average possession51%
PaideTammeka
4.35Shots on target / match4.78
PaideTammeka

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.7Shots per match13.89
PaideTammeka
4.35Shots on target4.78
PaideTammeka
11.7%Shot conversion8.4%
PaideTammeka
54%Possession51%
PaideTammeka
1.65xG for1.6
PaideTammeka
1.59xG against1.6
PaideTammeka

Shooting quality

Paide: BalancedTammeka: Balanced
PaideTammeka
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paide
WWDWL
Season result split
45% W25% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-6
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Tammeka
DWWWL
Season result split
44% W11% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-8
1.44 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Paide · 1.17 goals / match - Tammeka

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Tammeka scoring profile: very strong

Tammeka scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).

32Goals scored (season)21
PaideTammeka
28Goals conceded (season)26
PaideTammeka
3Average goals in match2.61
PaideTammeka
9Goals scored (last 5)6
PaideTammeka
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
PaideTammeka

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal67%
PaideTammeka
45%2 goals33%
PaideTammeka
20%3 goals17%
PaideTammeka
5%4 goals0%
PaideTammeka

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal72%
PaideTammeka
35%2 goals33%
PaideTammeka
15%3 goals22%
PaideTammeka
5%4 goals11%
PaideTammeka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time33%
PaideTammeka
10%BTTS in both halves0%
PaideTammeka
40%Scored in both halves17%
PaideTammeka

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
PaideTammeka
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
PaideTammeka
80%BTTS - last 560%
PaideTammeka

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
PaideTammeka
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
PaideTammeka
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
PaideTammeka

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
PaideTammeka
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
PaideTammeka
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
PaideTammeka

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Paide · 0.89 pts / match - Tammeka

Paide - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing
Tammeka - half-time state
11% leading56% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)0.89
PaideTammeka
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.5
PaideTammeka
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.94
PaideTammeka
1.45Average goals (1st half)1.44
PaideTammeka
65%Clean sheet before half-time39%
PaideTammeka
40%No goal before half-time67%
PaideTammeka

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.56
PaideTammeka
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
PaideTammeka
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
PaideTammeka
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.17
PaideTammeka
45%Clean sheet after half-time61%
PaideTammeka
30%No goal after half-time50%
PaideTammeka

Paide - second-half results

40% W30% R30% P
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tammeka - second-half results

39% W39% R22% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match2.41.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Tammeka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
5
6
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
4
7
31-45
4
0
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

PaideLigaTammeka
Average goals in match 3.003.11 2.61
Both teams scored 70%58% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%66% 56%
Clean sheets 20%23% 28%
Goal before half-time 65%74% 61%
Goal after half-time 90%88% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Paide 5 - 0 - 0 Tammeka. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 20% matches.

Tammeka
1 : 4
Paide
Paide Linnameeskond
5 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
0 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
JK Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu

FAQ

What was the result of Paide vs Tammeka?

The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 0:1 Tammeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Tammeka?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Paide won 5, Tammeka won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Tammeka?

Paide score 1.60 goals per game on average and Tammeka 1.17. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Paide's matches and 50% of Tammeka's.

What form are Paide and Tammeka in?

Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tammeka 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Tammeka?

The statistical background for Paide vs Tammeka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.