Paide vs Vaprus: match statistics
Paide vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paide play Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 4 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Paide linnastaadion. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Vaprus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paide 70%, Vaprus 65%. Over 2.5: Paide 55%, Vaprus 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Paide has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.14. Paide: 13.7 shots per match, Vaprus: 8.4.
Match halves
Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80. Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 40%.
Match description
I predict a home win (Paide). Paide creates significantly more chances: on average 11.75 shots and xG 1.41 per match versus 6.5 shots and xG 0.93 for Vaprus, meaning the hosts have approximately +0.48 xG and ~80% more shots. Defensively Paide also performs better — they concede 1.00 goal at home on average compared to Vaprus conceding 1.88 goals away, and in the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 4 goals versus 9 for the visitors. Form favors Paide: 0 defeats in the last 5 matches and 1.8 points per match in that period versus 2 defeats and 1.4 points for Vaprus. The visitors have a higher shot conversion (15% vs 10%) but a lower shot volume and a higher share of clean-sheet matches (25% vs 13%), which limits their realistic chances of winning.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Paide · 1.2 pts / match - Vaprus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Paide · 1.4 goals / match - Vaprus
Paide is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Paide · 1.9 goals / match - Vaprus
Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paide
Over / Under — Vaprus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Paide · 1.25 pts / match - Vaprus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paide
Vaprus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 66% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Paide 3 - 0 - 2 Vaprus. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Vaprus?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 3:1 Vaprus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Vaprus?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Paide won 3, Vaprus won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Vaprus?
Paide score 1.60 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.40. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Paide's matches and 65% of Vaprus's.
What form are Paide and Vaprus in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vaprus 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Vaprus?
The statistical background for Paide vs Vaprus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.