Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv: match statistics
Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pakhtakor play Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Pakhtakor: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Lokomotiv: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pakhtakor scores 1.92 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Lokomotiv scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pakhtakor 67%, Lokomotiv 58%. Over 2.5: Pakhtakor 50%, Lokomotiv 42%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.52. Pakhtakor: 12.8 shots per match, Lokomotiv: 13.6.
Match halves
Pakhtakor: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Lokomotiv: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Pakhtakor: 31-45+ (5 goals). Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Pakhtakor is the favorite due to a clear home-statistical advantage: on average 2.17 goals scored and 64% possession at home versus 1.5 goals and 51% possession for Lokomotiv away. The hosts register 5.5 shots on target per match with a 16% conversion rate, while the visitors have 4.33 shots on target and an 11% conversion, translating into more high-quality chances for Pakhtakor. Defensively the hosts concede 1.33 goals per home match versus 1.67 conceded by Lokomotiv away, and average xG is 1.65 for Pakhtakor against 1.61 for Lokomotiv — the qualitative edge favors the hosts. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 goals (2.0 per match) and average 1.6 points per match in that period, whereas the visitors scored 9 goals (1.8 per match) and 1.4 points, indicating a slightly better form for the home side. Considering a 67% home win rate for the hosts versus 50% away wins for the visitors and a goal difference of +5 for Pakhtakor vs -1 for Lokomotiv, I predict a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pakhtakor | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pakhtakor is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Pakhtakor · 1.4 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pakhtakor is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 1.25 goals / match - Lokomotiv
Pakhtakor is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 1.25 goals / match - Lokomotiv
Pakhtakor scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Lokomotiv scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pakhtakor
Over / Under — Lokomotiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pakhtakor is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / match - Pakhtakor · 1.25 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pakhtakor
Lokomotiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Pakhtakor | Liga | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.55 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Pakhtakor 1:1 Lokomotiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
Pakhtakor score 1.92 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv 1.25. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Pakhtakor's matches and 58% of Lokomotiv's.
What form are Pakhtakor and Lokomotiv in?
Over the last 5 games Pakhtakor have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Lokomotiv 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.