Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika: match statistics
Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paksi SE played against Kazincbarcika in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Paksi SE has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Kazincbarcika has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Paksi SE scores 1.81 goals per game and allows 1.41. Kazincbarcika scores 0.96 and allows 2.04. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Paksi SE's games and 52% of Kazincbarcika's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 70%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paksi SE has the higher season xG average, 2.01 to 1.09 per game. Paksi SE takes 16.2 shots per game, while Kazincbarcika takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Paksi SE leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.07 goals per game after halftime. Kazincbarcika leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.37 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paksi SE's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Kazincbarcika, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites in this match are the hosts, Paksi SE, who have scored 49 goals this season and average 2.15 goals per home game (xG 2.29), while Kazincbarcika have 26 goals this season and score an average of 1.15 goals away with xG 1.02. The hosts create significantly more opportunities — averaging 18.62 shots and 7.23 shots on target per home match versus the visitors’ 8.62 shots and 2.85 on target away — translating into clearly superior chance quality. Defensively the visitors are prone to mistakes: Kazincbarcika have conceded 55 goals this season and 2.0 goals on average away (xG against 2.28), whereas Paksi concede 1.85 at home on average (xG against 1.45). Recent form also favors the hosts — Paksi have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches with a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (1.0 point per match), while Kazincbarcika scored 6 and conceded 13 in their last five, with only 1 win and 4 losses (0.6 points per match). Considering league positions (5th vs 12th), superior win tally (11 vs 5) and clear advantages in xG (2.29 vs 1.02) and shots on target (7.23 vs 2.85), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates of 50% (Paksi) and 54% (Kazincbarcika), while the league BTTS rate is even higher at 62%, indicating matches in this league frequently end with goals from both sides. Both teams concede heavily: seasonal averages conceded are 2.07 for the home side and 2.00 for the away side, and in the last 5 matches the away team concedes 2.6 goals per game on average (13 conceded), which increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal. The home team’s last 5 xG is 1.71 with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match, while the away team has xG 0.97 and scores 1.2 goals per match, so both teams create scoring opportunities. Additionally, the clean sheet expected rate is low (7% for the home side and 15% for the away side), and matches over 2.5 goals occur in 57% for Paksi and 85% for Kazincbarcika; over2.5 with BTTS occurs for the home team in 43% and for the away team in 54%, which reinforces the BTTS signal. Based on this, I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 72% and No at 28%, therefore I recommend: yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Season-long statistics clearly indicate a goals match: Over 1.5 occurred for Paksi in 86% of games and for Kazincbarcika in 85% of games, and both teams have 100% of matches with at least one goal (Over 0.5 = 100%). Average xG are 1.15 for the home side and 1.02 for the visitors, while xG against are 1.82 (Paksi) and 2.28 (Kazincbarcika); averaging these pairs yields expected 1.72 goals for the home team and 1.42 for the away team, i.e. roughly 3.14 goals total. Season Over 2.5 percentages are 57% (Paksi) and 85% (Kazincbarcika), implying a combined probability for Over 2.5 around 71%, whereas Over 3.5 is less likely (43% vs 38% → approx. 41%). Additionally, low clean sheet rates (7% Paksi, 15% Kazincbarcika) and average goals conceded of 2.07 and 2.00 support a goals prediction; therefore I recommend the Over side and select Over 1.5 as the primary play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics suggest a high chance of a draw: the home side had a draw at the break in 36% of matches, and the visitors in 54%, i.e. on average around a 45% probability of an HT draw. Although Paks has a higher xG (1.15 vs 1.02 for Kazincbarcika), the home team concedes on average 2.07 goals per match compared to 2.00 for the visitors and has a lower win rate (14% vs 23%), so overall the away side is stronger. A strong signal in favor of a Kazincbarcika victory is the second half: the visitors score on average 0.69 goals after the break and register over 0.5 goals in 2H in 100% of matches, whereas Paks scores only 0.07 goals after the break on average. Additionally, the hosts rarely keep a clean sheet at half-time (21%), and their home matches have at least one goal by the break in 93% of cases, which suggests the HT draw is most likely to be with goals (e.g. 1-1). On this basis the strongest scenario is a half-time draw and an away win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paksi SE | Kazincbarcika | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paksi SE is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Paksi SE · 0.6 pts / game - Kazincbarcika
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 89% better for: goals scored per game.
1.81 goals / game - Paksi SE · 0.96 goals / game - Kazincbarcika
Paksi SE is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.41 goals / game - Paksi SE · 2.04 goals / game - Kazincbarcika
Paksi SE scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 meczów), while Kazincbarcika keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 meczów).
Kazincbarcika scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 meczów), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paksi SE
Over / Under - Kazincbarcika
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paksi SE is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / game - Paksi SE · 1 pts / game - Kazincbarcika
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kazincbarcika - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -18 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paksi SE
Kazincbarcika
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Paksi SE | Liga | Kazincbarcika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.22 | 2.96 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Paksi SE's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kazincbarcika. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika?
The NB I match finished Paksi SE 5:1 Kazincbarcika. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paksi SE and Kazincbarcika?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paksi SE won 2, Kazincbarcika won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika?
Paksi SE score 1.81 goals per game on average and Kazincbarcika 0.96. The NB I average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Paksi SE's matches and 52% of Kazincbarcika's.
What form are Paksi SE and Kazincbarcika in?
Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kazincbarcika 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs Kazincbarcika?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.