Paksi SE vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paksi SE play MTK in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 17:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Paksi SE: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. MTK: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paksi SE scores 1.91 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. MTK scores 1.67 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paksi SE 67%, MTK 67%. Over 2.5: Paksi SE 61%, MTK 70%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Paksi SE has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.56. Paksi SE: 15.4 shots per match, MTK: 13.4.

Match halves

Paksi SE: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.09. MTK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.09.

Goals by minute

Paksi SE: 76-90+ (20 goals). MTK: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Paksi SEMTK
17Shots12
Paksi SEMTK
6Shots on target4
Paksi SEMTK
2.2xG1.51
Paksi SEMTK
4Corners2
Paksi SEMTK
98Dangerous attacks65
Paksi SEMTK
17Fouls22
Paksi SEMTK
3Cards7
Paksi SEMTK

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.91Goals scored / match1.67
Paksi SEMTK
1.39Goals conceded / match1.88
Paksi SEMTK
48%Average possession50%
Paksi SEMTK
6Shots on target / match4.94
Paksi SEMTK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.42Shots per match13.42
Paksi SEMTK
6Shots on target4.94
Paksi SEMTK
12.4%Shot conversion12.4%
Paksi SEMTK
48%Possession50%
Paksi SEMTK
1.92xG for1.56
Paksi SEMTK
1.53xG against1.81
Paksi SEMTK

Shooting quality

Paksi SE: AttackingMTK: Balanced
Paksi SEMTK
Accuracy (shots on target)39%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paksi SE
LWLWW
Season result split
45% W24% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-10
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
MTK
WWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
27% W33% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-11-13
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-7-7
Last 5 away
0-5-0
DDDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paksi SE is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.91 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.67 goals / match - MTK

Paksi SE is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.39 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.88 goals / match - MTK

Paksi SE scoring profile: very strong

Paksi SE scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).

MTK scoring profile: very strong

MTK scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).

63Goals scored (season)55
Paksi SEMTK
46Goals conceded (season)62
Paksi SEMTK
3.3Average goals in match3.55
Paksi SEMTK
9Goals scored (last 5)8
Paksi SEMTK
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Paksi SEMTK

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal82%
Paksi SEMTK
55%2 goals48%
Paksi SEMTK
33%3 goals21%
Paksi SEMTK
12%4 goals9%
Paksi SEMTK

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal79%
Paksi SEMTK
42%2 goals52%
Paksi SEMTK
12%3 goals33%
Paksi SEMTK
3%4 goals15%
Paksi SEMTK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time21%
Paksi SEMTK
15%BTTS in both halves12%
Paksi SEMTK
42%Scored in both halves27%
Paksi SEMTK

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Paksi SEMTK
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Paksi SEMTK
40%BTTS - last 560%
Paksi SEMTK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Paksi SEMTK
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Paksi SEMTK
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Paksi SEMTK

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
Paksi SEMTK
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
Paksi SEMTK
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time39%
Paksi SEMTK

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paksi SE is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Paksi SE · 0.97 pts / match - MTK

Paksi SE - half-time state
33% leading52% draw15% trailing
MTK - half-time state
21% leading33% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)0.97
Paksi SEMTK
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Paksi SEMTK
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.85
Paksi SEMTK
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.42
Paksi SEMTK
64%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Paksi SEMTK
42%No goal before half-time64%
Paksi SEMTK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.48
Paksi SEMTK
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)1.09
Paksi SEMTK
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
Paksi SEMTK
2Average goals (2nd half)2.12
Paksi SEMTK
30%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Paksi SEMTK
36%No goal after half-time27%
Paksi SEMTK

Paksi SE - second-half results

39% W21% R39% P
50
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MTK - second-half results

42% W21% R36% P
32
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paksi SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
MTK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.22.2
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paksi SE
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
9
6
16-30
13
7
31-45
8
9
46-60
8
12
61-75
20
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

MTK
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
7
10
16-30
7
12
31-45
12
6
46-60
10
9
61-75
14
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paksi SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

MTK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

Paksi SELigaMTK
Average goals in match 3.303.00 3.55
Both teams scored 67%60% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%60% 70%
Clean sheets 18%22% 21%
Goal before half-time 67%70% 76%
Goal after half-time 91%87% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Paksi SE 2 - 0 - 0 MTK. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

MTK Budapest FC
0 : 2
Paksi SE
MTK Budapest FC
2 : 3
Paksi SE

FAQ

What was the result of Paksi SE vs MTK?

The NB I match finished Paksi SE 3:1 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paksi SE and MTK?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paksi SE won 2, MTK won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs MTK?

Paksi SE score 1.91 goals per game on average and MTK 1.67. The NB I average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Paksi SE's matches and 67% of MTK's.

What form are Paksi SE and MTK in?

Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and MTK 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs MTK?

The statistical background for Paksi SE vs MTK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.