Palermo vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Palermo played against Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on December 27, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Palermo has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Calcio Padova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Palermo scores 1.59 goals per game and allows 0.76. Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Palermo's games and 59% of Calcio Padova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 35%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Palermo has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.16 per game. Palermo takes 14.5 shots per game, while Calcio Padova takes 10.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Palermo leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.65 after halftime.

When the teams score

Palermo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Calcio Padova, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

41Possession (%)59
PalermoCalcio Padova
11Shots11
PalermoCalcio Padova
3Shots on target6
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.25xG1.47
PalermoCalcio Padova
3Corners8
PalermoCalcio Padova
46Dangerous attacks49
PalermoCalcio Padova
12Fouls11
PalermoCalcio Padova
2Cards2
PalermoCalcio Padova

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

PalermoCalcio Padova
1.59Goals scored / game1
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.76Goals allowed / game1.12
PalermoCalcio Padova
49%Average possession49%
PalermoCalcio Padova
4.53Shots on target / game3.76
PalermoCalcio Padova

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.47Shots per game10.41
PalermoCalcio Padova
4.53Shots on target3.76
PalermoCalcio Padova
11%Shot conversion9.6%
PalermoCalcio Padova
49%Possession49%
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.56xG for1.16
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.32xG against1.6
PalermoCalcio Padova

Shooting quality

Palermo: AttackingCalcio Padova: Balanced
PalermoCalcio Padova
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Palermo is 38% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Palermo · 1.6 pts / game - Calcio Padova

Palermo
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
47% W35% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-3
1.76 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Calcio Padova
LWDWD
Season result split
29% W41% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-5
1.29 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 59% better for: goals scored per game.

1.59 goals / game - Palermo · 1 goals / game - Calcio Padova

Palermo is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.76 goals / game - Palermo · 1.12 goals / game - Calcio Padova

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).

Calcio Padova scoring profile: strong

Calcio Padova scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).

27Goals scored (season)17
PalermoCalcio Padova
13Goals conceded (season)19
PalermoCalcio Padova
2.35Average goals per game2.12
PalermoCalcio Padova
12Goals scored (last 5)5
PalermoCalcio Padova
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
PalermoCalcio Padova

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal76%
PalermoCalcio Padova
47%2 goals24%
PalermoCalcio Padova
18%3 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
12%4 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal76%
PalermoCalcio Padova
12%2 goals29%
PalermoCalcio Padova
6%3 goals6%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%4 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time18%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%BTTS in both halves6%
PalermoCalcio Padova
35%Scored in both halves12%
PalermoCalcio Padova

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
PalermoCalcio Padova
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
60%BTTS - last 560%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
PalermoCalcio Padova
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
PalermoCalcio Padova

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
PalermoCalcio Padova
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
PalermoCalcio Padova
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / game - Palermo · 0.82 pts / game - Calcio Padova

Palermo - half-time state
47% leading18% draw35% trailing
Calcio Padova - half-time state
12% leading47% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per game (1st half)0.82
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.35
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.94Average goals (1st half)1
PalermoCalcio Padova
65%Clean sheet before half-time47%
PalermoCalcio Padova
53%No goal before half-time71%
PalermoCalcio Padova

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per game (2nd half)1.47
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
PalermoCalcio Padova
0.41Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.12
PalermoCalcio Padova
65%Clean sheet after half-time59%
PalermoCalcio Padova
41%No goal after half-time41%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Palermo - second-half results

41% W47% D12% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Calcio Padova - second-half results

35% W41% D24% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding242%

Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Palermo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.20
Goals scored / game1.01.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Calcio Padova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
4
6
31-45
6
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
7
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
5
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

PalermoLigaCalcio Padova
Average goals per game 2.352.49 2.12
Both teams scored 41%56% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%47% 35%
Clean sheets 41%26% 24%
Goal before half-time 82%70% 65%
Goal after half-time 71%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PalermoYellow cardJérémy Le Douaron
  2. PalermoYellow cardAntonio Palumbo
  3. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Aljosa VasicOff: Jérémy Le Douaron
  4. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Alessandro SeghettiOff: Mattia Bortolussi
  5. Calcio PadovaYellow cardJonas Harder
  6. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Cristian BuonaiutoOff: Jonas Harder
  7. Calcio PadovaYellow cardPietro Fusi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Marco PiccininiMatches officiated: 10
5.1Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 230%Home wins30%Draws40%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

The Serie B match finished Palermo 1:0 Calcio Padova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

Palermo score 1.59 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Palermo's matches and 59% of Calcio Padova's.

What form are Palermo and Calcio Padova in?

Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Calcio Padova 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

The statistical background for Palermo vs Calcio Padova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.