Palermo vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Palermo play Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 19:30. Final score: 5:0.

Current form

Palermo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Palermo scores 1.58 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Palermo 40%, Carrarese 47%. Over 2.5: Palermo 45%, Carrarese 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Palermo has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.43. Palermo: 14.2 shots per match, Carrarese: 13.3.

Match halves

Palermo: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.90. Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Palermo: 76-90+ (16 goals). Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
PalermoCarrarese
21Shots7
PalermoCarrarese
9Shots on target2
PalermoCarrarese
2.18xG0.86
PalermoCarrarese
3Corners4
PalermoCarrarese
31Dangerous attacks37
PalermoCarrarese
17Fouls12
PalermoCarrarese
2Cards3
PalermoCarrarese

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.58Goals scored / match1.24
PalermoCarrarese
0.9Goals conceded / match1.37
PalermoCarrarese
49%Average possession51%
PalermoCarrarese
4.45Shots on target / match3.92
PalermoCarrarese

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.18Shots per match13.32
PalermoCarrarese
4.45Shots on target3.92
PalermoCarrarese
11.1%Shot conversion9.3%
PalermoCarrarese
49%Possession51%
PalermoCarrarese
1.55xG for1.43
PalermoCarrarese
1.33xG against1.39
PalermoCarrarese

Shooting quality

Palermo: AttackingCarrarese: Balanced
PalermoCarrarese
Accuracy (shots on target)31%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Palermo is 250% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Palermo · 0.4 pts / match - Carrarese

Palermo
DWLLW
Season result split
53% W30% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-12-7
1.88 pts / match · goal difference +27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-4-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Carrarese
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W37% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-14-14
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.58 goals / match - Palermo · 1.24 goals / match - Carrarese

Palermo is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.9 goals / match - Palermo · 1.37 goals / match - Carrarese

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 78% of matches (31 of 40 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

Carrarese scoring profile: mixed

Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 45% (18 of 40 matches).

63Goals scored (season)47
PalermoCarrarese
36Goals conceded (season)52
PalermoCarrarese
2.48Average goals in match2.61
PalermoCarrarese
6Goals scored (last 5)3
PalermoCarrarese
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
PalermoCarrarese

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal63%
PalermoCarrarese
48%2 goals39%
PalermoCarrarese
23%3 goals21%
PalermoCarrarese
5%4 goals0%
PalermoCarrarese

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal68%
PalermoCarrarese
25%2 goals42%
PalermoCarrarese
10%3 goals16%
PalermoCarrarese
0%4 goals8%
PalermoCarrarese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time18%
PalermoCarrarese
3%BTTS in both halves13%
PalermoCarrarese
35%Scored in both halves29%
PalermoCarrarese

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
PalermoCarrarese
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
PalermoCarrarese
40%BTTS - last 540%
PalermoCarrarese

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
PalermoCarrarese
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
PalermoCarrarese
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
PalermoCarrarese

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
PalermoCarrarese
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
PalermoCarrarese
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
PalermoCarrarese

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.7 pts / match - Palermo · 0.92 pts / match - Carrarese

Palermo - half-time state
48% leading28% draw25% trailing
Carrarese - half-time state
13% leading53% draw34% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per match (1st half)0.92
PalermoCarrarese
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.39
PalermoCarrarese
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.66
PalermoCarrarese
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.05
PalermoCarrarese
70%Clean sheet before half-time50%
PalermoCarrarese
45%No goal before half-time68%
PalermoCarrarese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per match (2nd half)1.39
PalermoCarrarese
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
PalermoCarrarese
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
PalermoCarrarese
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.55
PalermoCarrarese
63%Clean sheet after half-time47%
PalermoCarrarese
43%No goal after half-time39%
PalermoCarrarese

Palermo - second-half results

43% W38% R20% P
68
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carrarese - second-half results

32% W45% R24% P
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Palermo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.4
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
10
5
0-15
8
2
16-30
9
8
31-45
13
5
46-60
7
8
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
7
8
16-30
2
11
31-45
7
10
46-60
12
6
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

PalermoLigaCarrarese
Average goals in match 2.482.55 2.61
Both teams scored 40%53% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%48% 50%
Clean sheets 45%27% 32%
Goal before half-time 78%70% 63%
Goal after half-time 73%78% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Palermo 1 - 0 - 0 Carrarese. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Palermo vs Carrarese?

The Serie B match finished Palermo 5:0 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Carrarese?

Palermo score 1.58 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.24. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Palermo's matches and 47% of Carrarese's.

What form are Palermo and Carrarese in?

Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carrarese 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Carrarese?

The statistical background for Palermo vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.