Palermo vs Spezia: match statistics
Palermo is in significantly better form, occupying 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 60% home wins and 70% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have averaged 2.2 points per match in their last five games without losing a single match. Spezia finds themselves in a difficult situation in 17th position, with only 22% away wins and 56% losses in away matches. The difference in xG is clear - Palermo generates an average of 1.71 xG at home with only 1.17 xG against, while Spezia manages only 1.26 xG away, conceding an average of 1.44 goals. Palermo's home goal difference (+12) and Spezia's poor away form (-3 goal difference) further support a confident home victory.
Palermo vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Palermo played against Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 18, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Palermo has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Spezia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Palermo scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 0.74. Spezia scores 0.95 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Palermo's games and 58% of Spezia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 37% and 42%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palermo has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.23 per game. Palermo takes 14.5 shots per game, while Spezia takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Palermo leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Spezia leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Palermo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Spezia, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo is in significantly better form, occupying 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 60% home wins and 70% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have averaged 2.2 points per match in their last five games without losing a single match. Spezia finds themselves in a difficult situation in 17th position, with only 22% away wins and 56% losses in away matches. The difference in xG is clear - Palermo generates an average of 1.71 xG at home with only 1.17 xG against, while Spezia manages only 1.26 xG away, conceding an average of 1.44 goals. Palermo's home goal difference (+12) and Spezia's poor away form (-3 goal difference) further support a confident home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Palermo | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Palermo is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Palermo · 1.2 pts / game - Spezia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
1.53 goals / game - Palermo · 0.95 goals / game - Spezia
Palermo is 92% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.74 goals / game - Palermo · 1.42 goals / game - Spezia
Palermo scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
Spezia scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Palermo
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / game - Palermo · 0.95 pts / game - Spezia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 47%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Palermo
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Palermo | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.26 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Palermo's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Spezia. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Palermo vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Palermo 1:0 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Spezia?
Palermo score 1.53 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.95. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Palermo's matches and 58% of Spezia's.
What form are Palermo and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Spezia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Spezia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Palermo vs Spezia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.