Palermo vs Südtirol: match statistics
Palermo is showing impressive home form with a 69% win rate at their stadium and only 8% losses, scoring an average of 1.85 goals per match while maintaining a 69% clean sheet rate. The hosts are in excellent shape, confirmed by an unbeaten run in their last 5 matches and a +17 goal difference in home games. Südtirol, on the other hand, has poor away statistics with only 15% wins on the road and as many as 69% draws, scoring just 0.85 goals on average per away match. The difference in xG quality (1.61 for Palermo vs 1.29 for Südtirol) and the advantage in shots on target (5.15 vs 3.31) further support the hosts. Considering the table position (4th place for Palermo vs 9th for Südtirol) and the significant statistical advantage of the home side, I expect a confident victory for Palermo, although the guests' solid defense could result in a win by a narrow margin.
Palermo vs Südtirol: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Palermo played against Südtirol in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Palermo has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Südtirol has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Palermo scores 1.68 goals per game and allows 0.76. Südtirol scores 1.04 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Palermo's games and 56% of Südtirol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 36%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palermo has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.44 per game. Palermo takes 14.0 shots per game, while Südtirol takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Palermo leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Südtirol leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Palermo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Südtirol, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo is showing impressive home form with a 69% win rate at their stadium and only 8% losses, scoring an average of 1.85 goals per match while maintaining a 69% clean sheet rate. The hosts are in excellent shape, confirmed by an unbeaten run in their last 5 matches and a +17 goal difference in home games. Südtirol, on the other hand, has poor away statistics with only 15% wins on the road and as many as 69% draws, scoring just 0.85 goals on average per away match. The difference in xG quality (1.61 for Palermo vs 1.29 for Südtirol) and the advantage in shots on target (5.15 vs 3.31) further support the hosts. Considering the table position (4th place for Palermo vs 9th for Südtirol) and the significant statistical advantage of the home side, I expect a confident victory for Palermo, although the guests' solid defense could result in a win by a narrow margin.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Palermo | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 62% better for: goals scored per game.
1.68 goals / game - Palermo · 1.04 goals / game - Südtirol
Palermo is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.76 goals / game - Palermo · 0.96 goals / game - Südtirol
Palermo scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 meczów).
Südtirol scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Palermo
Over / Under - Südtirol
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Palermo · 1.4 pts / game - Südtirol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 28%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Palermo
Südtirol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Palermo | Liga | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.44 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Palermo's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Südtirol. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Palermo vs Südtirol?
The Serie B match finished Palermo 4:0 Südtirol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Südtirol?
Palermo score 1.68 goals per game on average and Südtirol 1.04. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Palermo's matches and 56% of Südtirol's.
What form are Palermo and Südtirol in?
Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Südtirol 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Südtirol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.