Palestino vs Concepción: match statistics
Palestino vs Concepción: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Palestino play Concepción in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 24 April 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Palestino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Concepción: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Palestino scores 1.53 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Concepción scores 0.93 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Palestino 60%, Concepción 40%. Over 2.5: Palestino 53%, Concepción 40%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Palestino has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.28. Palestino: 14.6 shots per match, Concepción: 12.9.
Match halves
Palestino: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.67. Concepción: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Palestino: 16-30 (6 goals). Concepción: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back 1 — a Palestino win. Palestino averages 2.0 goals per home match, has a 60% home win rate and is unbeaten in its last 5 home appearances (ddwww: 3 wins, 2 draws). Concepción averages only 0.5 goals away, has a 17% away win rate and in their last 5 matches overall record 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses. The hosts register 5.8 shots on target per home game versus 2.67 for the visitors, have a higher conversion rate 13% vs 4% and higher home xG 1.5 vs the visitors’ 1.15, while defensively Concepción concedes 1.67 goals away with xG against 1.48. Based on this I estimate the hosts’ win probability at about 70%, draw 20% and an away win 10%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Palestino | Concepción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palestino is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Palestino · 1.8 pts / match - Concepción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palestino is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Palestino · 0.93 goals / match - Concepción
Palestino is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Palestino · 1.53 goals / match - Concepción
Palestino scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Concepción scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Palestino keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Palestino
Over / Under — Concepción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palestino is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Palestino · 1.33 pts / match - Concepción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palestino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Palestino
Concepción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Palestino | Liga | Concepción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Palestino vs Concepción?
The Primera División match finished Palestino 0:1 Concepción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Palestino vs Concepción?
Palestino score 1.53 goals per game on average and Concepción 0.93. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Palestino's matches and 40% of Concepción's.
What form are Palestino and Concepción in?
Over the last 5 games Palestino have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Concepción 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palestino vs Concepción?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.