Palmeiras vs Corinthians: match statistics
Palmeiras vs Corinthians: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Palmeiras played against Corinthians in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Allianz Parque. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Palmeiras has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Corinthians has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Palmeiras scores 1.66 goals per game and allows 0.72. Corinthians scores 1.03 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Palmeiras's games and 55% of Corinthians's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 45%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palmeiras has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.36 per game. Palmeiras takes 15.3 shots per game, while Corinthians takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Palmeiras leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Corinthians leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Palmeiras's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). For Corinthians, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palmeiras sit 2nd in the table and have won 69% of their home matches, while 14th-placed Corinthians have won just 23% of their away games. The hosts average 1.77 goals scored and 0.69 conceded at home, compared with 1.08 scored and 1.23 conceded by the visitors on the road. Palmeiras’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG stands at 1.71, while Corinthians’ away xG is just 1.12. In their last five matches, Palmeiras have recorded 2 wins and conceded 3 goals, whereas Corinthians have failed to win and have conceded 9. Although the hosts have scored only 5 goals over that period, their solid defense and clearly stronger home record point to a Palmeiras win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Palmeiras’ defense: they conceded an average of 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches and kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games this season. Over the same period, Corinthians scored an average of just 0.8 goals, making their failure to score the more likely route to this outcome. Palmeiras recorded BTTS in 40% of their matches this season and just 20% of their last 5, although Corinthians’ figures point in the opposite direction: 69% and 80%, respectively. The visitors have conceded an average of 1.8 goals recently, while Palmeiras posted an xG of 2.19, so a home win with only one team scoring is more likely than a goalless draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 87% of Palmeiras matches and 77% of Corinthians matches. Palmeiras concede an average of 1.07 goals and have conceded just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, limiting the visitors’ scoring potential. Corinthians have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 games, but Palmeiras averaged only 1.0 goal per match over that period despite an xG of 2.19. The 2.35-goal forecast accounts for the hosts’ advantage without assuming they will fully convert their chances. The 3.5 line offers more margin than 2.5, which 60% of Palmeiras matches and 54% of Corinthians matches finished Under.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: it occurred in 53% of Palmeiras’ matches and 54% of Corinthians’ matches over the season, and three times each in their last five games. The case for a home win later in the match is supported by Palmeiras’ edge in chance quality: they average 1.49 xG compared with Corinthians’ 1.12 xG and record 4.4 shots on target per match against their opponents’ 2.92. The form gap is clear: Palmeiras earned 8 points in their last five matches, while Corinthians managed just 1 and lost four times. The visitors conceded an average of 1.2 goals after the break over that period, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will settle the match in the second half. The risk to the X/1 pick is that Corinthians score an average of 0.69 goals after half-time over the season, compared with Palmeiras’ 0.47, so a scenario in which the hosts lead at the break also carries significant weight in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Palmeiras | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
1.66 goals / game - Palmeiras · 1.03 goals / game - Corinthians
Palmeiras is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.72 goals / game - Palmeiras · 1.17 goals / game - Corinthians
Palmeiras scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 games), while Corinthians keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 games).
Corinthians scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 games), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Palmeiras
Over / Under - Corinthians
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Palmeiras · 0.83 pts / game - Corinthians
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Corinthians - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Palmeiras
Corinthians
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Palmeiras | Liga | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.38 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 23% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 79% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Palmeiras's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Corinthians. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
The Serie A match finished Palmeiras 4:1 Corinthians. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Corinthians?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 1, Corinthians won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Palmeiras score 1.66 goals per game on average and Corinthians 1.03. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Palmeiras's matches and 55% of Corinthians's.
What form are Palmeiras and Corinthians in?
Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Corinthians 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
The statistical background for Palmeiras vs Corinthians — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.