Palmeiras vs Fluminense: match statistics
Palmeiras displays impressive home form with a record of 100% wins at home and an average of 5 goals scored per match. The hosts dominate their fixtures, achieving an average of 60% possession and showing high offensive efficiency with a shot conversion rate of 29%. Fluminense, despite good overall form (2.6 points per match), shows weakness in away matches – a draw in their only away game and just 1 goal on average per match. The significant difference in xG values (1.91 for Palmeiras vs 1.46 for Fluminense) and the hosts' advantage in offensive intensity (17 shots vs 13 shots on average per match) further support the predictions in favor of the team from São Paulo. Palmeiras, as the table leader, should capitalize on the home field advantage and continue their winning streak.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Palmeiras played against Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on February 26, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Palmeiras has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.33 points per game. Fluminense has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.33 points per game.
Scoring records
Palmeiras scores 3.33 goals per game and allows 1.33. Fluminense scores 1.33 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Palmeiras's games and 67% of Fluminense's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 33%, compared with league averages of 68% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palmeiras has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.33 per game. Palmeiras takes 13.7 shots per game, while Fluminense takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Palmeiras leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.67 goals per game after halftime. Fluminense leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Palmeiras's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Fluminense, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 68% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palmeiras displays impressive home form with a record of 100% wins at home and an average of 5 goals scored per match. The hosts dominate their fixtures, achieving an average of 60% possession and showing high offensive efficiency with a shot conversion rate of 29%. Fluminense, despite good overall form (2.6 points per match), shows weakness in away matches – a draw in their only away game and just 1 goal on average per match. The significant difference in xG values (1.91 for Palmeiras vs 1.46 for Fluminense) and the hosts' advantage in offensive intensity (17 shots vs 13 shots on average per match) further support the predictions in favor of the team from São Paulo. Palmeiras, as the table leader, should capitalize on the home field advantage and continue their winning streak.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Palmeiras | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 150% better for: goals scored per game.
3.33 goals / game - Palmeiras · 1.33 goals / game - Fluminense
Fluminense is 99% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Palmeiras · 0.67 goals / game - Fluminense
Palmeiras scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Fluminense scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Palmeiras
Over / Under - Fluminense
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Palmeiras
Fluminense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Palmeiras | Liga | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.67 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 68% | • 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Palmeiras's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Fluminense. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
The Serie A match finished Palmeiras 2:1 Fluminense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Fluminense?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 1, Fluminense won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
Palmeiras score 3.33 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Palmeiras's matches and 67% of Fluminense's.
What form are Palmeiras and Fluminense in?
Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Fluminense 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?
The statistical background for Palmeiras vs Fluminense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.