Palmeiras vs Santos: match statistics
Palmeiras vs Santos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Palmeiras played against Santos in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Palmeiras has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Santos has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Palmeiras scores 1.77 goals per game and allows 0.77. Santos scores 1.38 and allows 1.62. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Palmeiras's games and 77% of Santos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 62%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palmeiras has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.29 per game. Palmeiras takes 11.9 shots per game, while Santos takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Palmeiras leads at halftime in 77% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Santos leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Palmeiras's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Santos, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palmeiras are the clear favorites: league leaders (position 1) have 10 wins this season and a perfect home record (Win% 100, Loss% 0), while Santos sit 16th with only 3 wins this season. At home the hosts pose greater threat — they score 2.17 goals per game at home with 5 shots on target and a 15% conversion rate, whereas Santos average 1.33 goals away with 3.33 shots on target and 10% conversion. Defense also favors Palmeiras: hosts concede 0.67 goals at home versus 2.17 conceded by Santos on the road, and opponents’ xG against Santos is 1.56 vs xG against Palmeiras 1.28. Form trends confirm the advantage — Palmeiras have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 (2.6 points per game), while Santos have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss (0.8 points per game) and have not won away (Win% away 0%). Considering 0% of home matches without a goal for Palmeiras versus 17% FTS for Santos and the superiority in xG, concessions and shot efficiency, I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams display strong seasonal BTTS indicators: Palmeiras 71% and Santos 83%, both well above the league average of 55%, indicating a high probability of Goal/Goal. Goal and xG metrics corroborate this signal: Palmeiras scores 1.43 goals with xG 1.19 per game, while Santos concedes 2.17 goals with xG against 1.56; conversely Santos generates xG 1.40 versus Palmeiras xG against 1.28, so both sides create chances. Santos away averages 14.0 shots and 3.33 on target with a 10% conversion rate, while Palmeiras posts 10.57 shots and 3.0 on target with a 14% conversion, increasing the likelihood of goals from both teams. Although Palmeiras conceded only 0.4 goals in the last 5 matches and had BTTS in 40% of those fixtures plus 29% clean sheets at home, given the seasonal 71%/83% BTTS and Santos having 83% of matches over 2.5, the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I recommend Over 1.5 as the primary option: 86% of Palmeiras matches and 83% of Santos matches this season finished over 1.5 goals, giving roughly an 85% probability for Over 1.5. xG analysis: 1.19 xG for Palmeiras and 1.56 xG against (Santos) yield an expected 1.38 goals for the home side, while 1.40 xG for Santos and 1.28 xG against Palmeiras yield 1.34 expected goals for the away side, totaling 2.72 expected goals. Additionally both teams have high BTTS rates: 71% (Palmeiras) and 83% (Santos), and the league average is 2.61 goals per match, which further supports the at least two-goal scenario. Over 2.5 has moderate backing (43% for the home side vs 83% for the away side, average ~63%), but considering Palmeiras’ form in the last 5 matches (scoring 1.6 on average and conceding only 0.4) I lower the probability of >2.5 to around 60%; Over 3.5 is less certain (14% home vs 67% away -> approx. 40%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict 1/1 as the most likely scenario: Palmeiras led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and won 4 of 5 (80%), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in those five games. Santos have not won any of their last 5 matches (0% wins) and concede an average of 2.17 goals per game this season; despite a higher xG (1.40 vs. Palmeiras 1.19) they have a lower shot conversion rate (10% vs. 14%). Season-to-date Palmeiras are level at half-time in 71% of matches, so the X/1 variant (draw at half-time, home win at full-time) is the second logical option; however, Palmeiras’ last five first halves show an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, which supports them leading at the break. As a result I give the largest weight to 1/1, a significant weight to X/1 as an alternative, and consider scenarios with a Santos win unlikely given their zero wins in the last five matches and high average goals conceded of 2.17.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Palmeiras | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Palmeiras is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Palmeiras · 1.4 pts / game - Santos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.77 goals / game - Palmeiras · 1.38 goals / game - Santos
Palmeiras is 110% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.77 goals / game - Palmeiras · 1.62 goals / game - Santos
Palmeiras scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 meczów), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
Santos scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 meczów), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Palmeiras
Over / Under - Santos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.54 pts / game - Palmeiras · 1.38 pts / game - Santos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 77% of games and wins 77%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Santos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Palmeiras
Santos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Palmeiras | Liga | Santos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.54 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Palmeiras's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Santos. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Santos?
The Serie A match finished Palmeiras 1:1 Santos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Santos?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 1, Santos won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs Santos?
Palmeiras score 1.77 goals per game on average and Santos 1.38. The Serie A average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Palmeiras's matches and 77% of Santos's.
What form are Palmeiras and Santos in?
Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Santos 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs Santos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Palmeiras vs Santos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.