Palmeiras vs Vitória: match statistics
Palmeiras, despite a lower position in the table (11th place), presents solid home form with a goal difference of 2:2 this season and has not yet suffered a defeat at home (1 draw). Vitória occupies 2nd place in the table and has better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), however, the lack of detailed away match statistics hinders a full assessment of their effectiveness on foreign turf. Palmeiras has scored 6 goals in their last five matches overall, though they conceded 8, indicating some defensive issues. Vitória presents excellent defense this season (0 goals conceded in the away match) and high offensive efficiency (9 goals in the last 5 matches). Taking into account the home advantage and the uncertainty of the visitors' away form, I predict a slight advantage for Palmeiras, although a draw is also a realistic scenario for this match.
Palmeiras vs Vitória: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Palmeiras play Vitória in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 5 February 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Palmeiras: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Vitória: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Palmeiras scores 1.67 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Vitória scores 1.22 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Palmeiras 61%, Vitória 44%. Over 2.5: Palmeiras 50%, Vitória 39%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.24. Palmeiras: 13.1 shots per match, Vitória: 11.2.
Match halves
Palmeiras: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.67. Vitória: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Palmeiras: 16-30 (8 goals). Vitória: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Palmeiras, despite a lower position in the table (11th place), presents solid home form with a goal difference of 2:2 this season and has not yet suffered a defeat at home (1 draw). Vitória occupies 2nd place in the table and has better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), however, the lack of detailed away match statistics hinders a full assessment of their effectiveness on foreign turf. Palmeiras has scored 6 goals in their last five matches overall, though they conceded 8, indicating some defensive issues. Vitória presents excellent defense this season (0 goals conceded in the away match) and high offensive efficiency (9 goals in the last 5 matches). Taking into account the home advantage and the uncertainty of the visitors' away form, I predict a slight advantage for Palmeiras, although a draw is also a realistic scenario for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Palmeiras | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.4 pts / match - Vitória
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.22 goals / match - Vitória
Palmeiras is 93% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.39 goals / match - Vitória
Palmeiras scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Vitória scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Palmeiras
Over / Under — Vitória
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.17 pts / match - Vitória
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Palmeiras
Vitória
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Palmeiras | Liga | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.64 | • 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 58% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 23% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Palmeiras 0 - 2 - 0 Vitória. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Vitória?
The Serie A match finished Palmeiras 5:1 Vitória. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Vitória?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 0, Vitória won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs Vitória?
Palmeiras score 1.67 goals per game on average and Vitória 1.22. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Palmeiras's matches and 44% of Vitória's.
What form are Palmeiras and Vitória in?
Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Vitória 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs Vitória?
The statistical background for Palmeiras vs Vitória — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.