Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens: match statistics
Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Panathinaikos played against AEK Athens in Super League (Greece). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Panathinaikos has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. AEK Athens has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Panathinaikos scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.00. AEK Athens scores 1.89 and allows 0.61. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Panathinaikos's games and 32% of AEK Athens's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AEK Athens has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.56 per game. Panathinaikos takes 13.0 shots per game, while AEK Athens takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Panathinaikos leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. AEK Athens leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.18 after halftime.
When the teams score
Panathinaikos's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For AEK Athens, it is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
An away win (AEK) appears most likely: AEK have won 4 of their last 5 matches scoring 10 goals, while Panathinaikos have just 1 win and 2 goals in the same period. Over the season AEK have recorded 20 wins and 53 goals, versus Panathinaikos’ 14 wins and 44 goals, clearly indicating the visitors’ offensive edge. Hosts create slightly more chances at home (avg. 14.21 shots, 5.29 on target and xG 1.71), while AEK away average 13.64 shots, 4.21 on target and xG 1.55; however AEK have been markedly more clinical in recent matches. Defensively both teams concede on average 0.86 goals per game, but AEK have a higher clean sheet rate (50% vs 36%) and a lower away loss rate (7% vs 14%), providing greater stability. Considering AEK’s 2.4 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Panathinaikos’ 1.0, and the seasonal win advantage 20–14, I propose the probability distribution: 55% AEK win, 25% home win, 20% draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Panathinaikos at home averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 0.36; they have 71% clean sheets and only 21% home matches with BTTS, which strongly argues against both teams scoring. AEK away averages 1.79 goals for and 0.86 conceded; their seasonal BTTS is 43%, xG is 1.55, while Panathinaikos allows opponents 0.92 xG per match, so AEK has offensive potential but will face a disciplined defense. In the last 5 matches Panathinaikos scored only 2 goals (0.4 per game) and conceded 7 (1.4 per game), while AEK scored 10 (2.0 per game) and conceded 4 (0.8 per game), showing AEK’s attacking form but a clear drop in the hosts’ efficiency. Considering Panathinaikos’ 71% clean sheets, low home BTTS of 21% and the league average of 2.51 goals with 64% clean sheets, I assign a higher probability to No Goal 68% vs BTTS - Yes 32%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (Panathinaikos 1.84, AEK 1.55) and xG against (Panathinaikos 0.92, AEK 1.09) yields an expected 1.47 goals for the home side and 1.23 for the visitors, totaling 2.70 goals. With a mean of 2.70 the Poisson distribution indicates roughly a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals, about 51% for Over 2.5 and around 29% for Over 3.5. Seasonally both teams have only 43% of matches above 2.5 goals, but Panathinaikos averages 2.0 goals at home and AEK has scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game), which lifts the goal probability. At the same time Panathinaikos records 71% clean sheets at home and only 21% of matches see Both Teams To Score, which limits the risk of a very high-scoring affair; therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5, while Over 2.5 shows only a moderate edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Panathinaikos led at half-time in 57% of their home matches and average 0.79 goals scored and 0.14 conceded by the break (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 57%, scoredAVGHT_home 0.79, concededAVGHT_home 0.14), which strongly supports a lead at the break. The hosts win 86% of home games (winPercentage_home = 86%), therefore the 1/1 scenario was given the highest weight of 52% as the most likely outcome. Additionally, the hosts’ xG of 1.84 versus the visitors’ 1.55 and an average of 5.43 shots on target vs 4.21 confirm offensive superiority, while a seasonal clean sheet at half-time of 86% (seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 86%) reduces the likelihood of a quick equalizer. However, AEK are in good form over the last five matches (80% wins and 80% leads at half-time in the last five), so I also assigned a significant 28% to the X/1 scenario (draw at half-time, hosts win) as protection against a late turnaround. The remaining 20% is distributed among rare draws and sporadic turnarounds (e.g. 1/X 4%, 2/1 6%, 2/2 6%, 2/X 2%, 1/2 1%, X/X 1%, X/2 0%), reflecting the season-long 7% home defeats and 7% home draws.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Panathinaikos | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AEK Athens is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Panathinaikos · 2.6 pts / game - AEK Athens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Athens is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.57 goals / game - Panathinaikos · 1.89 goals / game - AEK Athens
AEK Athens is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Panathinaikos · 0.61 goals / game - AEK Athens
Panathinaikos scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 61% (17 of 28 meczów).
AEK Athens scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 meczów), while Panathinaikos keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Panathinaikos
Over / Under - AEK Athens
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Panathinaikos is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / game - Panathinaikos · 1.68 pts / game - AEK Athens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Panathinaikos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Panathinaikos | Liga | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.57 | 2.55 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 32% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Panathinaikos's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against AEK Athens. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?
The Super League match finished Panathinaikos 0:0 AEK Athens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Panathinaikos and AEK Athens?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Panathinaikos won 0, AEK Athens won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?
Panathinaikos score 1.57 goals per game on average and AEK Athens 1.89. The Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Panathinaikos's matches and 32% of AEK Athens's.
What form are Panathinaikos and AEK Athens in?
Over the last 5 games Panathinaikos have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and AEK Athens 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.