PAOK vs AEK Athens: match statistics
PAOK are displaying impressive home form with 90% of matches won at their stadium and conceding only 0.3 goals per game on average. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.95 vs 1.6) and boast better shot conversion in home matches. AEK Athens, despite leading the table, show weaker efficiency away from home (70% win rate) and concede more goals (0.8 per match). PAOK's home goal difference (+19) significantly exceeds AEK's away goal difference (+12), confirming the hosts' strength at their own ground. Both teams' form in the last five matches is identical (2 PPG), yet PAOK's advantage when playing in front of their home crowd, combined with a 70% clean sheet rate at home, gives them a slight edge. We expect a tight encounter with a slight indication towards a home win, although a draw is also a realistic scenario.
PAOK vs AEK Athens: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PAOK played against AEK Athens in Super League (Greece). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
PAOK has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. AEK Athens has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
PAOK scores 2.16 goals per game and allows 0.68. AEK Athens scores 1.85 and allows 0.65. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 37% of PAOK's games and 35% of AEK Athens's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 35%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PAOK has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.71 per game. PAOK takes 15.2 shots per game, while AEK Athens takes 15.3.
First-half and second-half trends
PAOK leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. AEK Athens leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
PAOK's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). For AEK Athens, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PAOK are displaying impressive home form with 90% of matches won at their stadium and conceding only 0.3 goals per game on average. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.95 vs 1.6) and boast better shot conversion in home matches. AEK Athens, despite leading the table, show weaker efficiency away from home (70% win rate) and concede more goals (0.8 per match). PAOK's home goal difference (+19) significantly exceeds AEK's away goal difference (+12), confirming the hosts' strength at their own ground. Both teams' form in the last five matches is identical (2 PPG), yet PAOK's advantage when playing in front of their home crowd, combined with a 70% clean sheet rate at home, gives them a slight edge. We expect a tight encounter with a slight indication towards a home win, although a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PAOK | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PAOK is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - PAOK · 2.2 pts / game - AEK Athens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PAOK is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
2.16 goals / game - PAOK · 1.85 goals / game - AEK Athens
AEK Athens is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.68 goals / game - PAOK · 0.65 goals / game - AEK Athens
PAOK scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 55% (11 of 20 meczów).
AEK Athens scores in 90% of games (18 of 20 meczów), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 58% (11 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PAOK
Over / Under - AEK Athens
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PAOK is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / game - PAOK · 1.5 pts / game - AEK Athens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PAOK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 74%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PAOK
AEK Athens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| PAOK | Liga | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.84 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 30% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from PAOK's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against AEK Athens. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PAOK vs AEK Athens?
The Super League match finished PAOK 0:0 AEK Athens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs AEK Athens?
PAOK score 2.16 goals per game on average and AEK Athens 1.85. The Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 37% of PAOK's matches and 35% of AEK Athens's.
What form are PAOK and AEK Athens in?
Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and AEK Athens 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs AEK Athens?
The statistical background for PAOK vs AEK Athens — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.