PAOK vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

PAOK played against Aris in Super League (Greece). The game was played on December 7, 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

PAOK has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Aris has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

PAOK scores 2.17 goals per game and allows 0.75. Aris scores 0.92 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 42% of PAOK's games and 50% of Aris's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 33%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

PAOK has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.47 per game. PAOK takes 15.1 shots per game, while Aris takes 13.1.

First-half and second-half trends

PAOK leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Aris leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

PAOK's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Aris, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Super League games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

2 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

65Possession (%)35
PAOKAris
19Shots9
PAOKAris
6Shots on target3
PAOKAris
2.03xG0.88
PAOKAris
7Corners2
PAOKAris
57Dangerous attacks14
PAOKAris
11Fouls11
PAOKAris
2Cards0
PAOKAris

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.17Goals scored / game0.92
PAOKAris
0.75Goals allowed / game1.08
PAOKAris
63%Average possession54%
PAOKAris
5.08Shots on target / game4.42
PAOKAris

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.08Shots per game13.08
PAOKAris
5.08Shots on target4.42
PAOKAris
14.4%Shot conversion7%
PAOKAris
63%Possession54%
PAOKAris
1.75xG for1.47
PAOKAris
0.81xG against1.22
PAOKAris

Shooting quality

PAOK: DominantAris: Balanced
PAOKAris
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

PAOK is 140% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - PAOK · 1 pts / game - Aris

PAOK
WWLWW
Season result split
75% W17% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-1
2.42 pts / game · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 0.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%
Aris
DLDLW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-4
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PAOK is 136% better for: goals scored per game.

2.17 goals / game - PAOK · 0.92 goals / game - Aris

PAOK is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.75 goals / game - PAOK · 1.08 goals / game - Aris

PAOK scoring profile: very strong

PAOK scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 meczów), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 meczów).

Aris scoring profile: mixed

Aris scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 meczów), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 meczów).

26Goals scored (season)11
PAOKAris
9Goals conceded (season)13
PAOKAris
2.92Average goals per game2
PAOKAris
15Goals scored (last 5)4
PAOKAris
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
PAOKAris

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal67%
PAOKAris
67%2 goals25%
PAOKAris
42%3 goals0%
PAOKAris
8%4 goals0%
PAOKAris

How often they concede at least...

42%1 goal75%
PAOKAris
25%2 goals25%
PAOKAris
8%3 goals8%
PAOKAris
0%4 goals0%
PAOKAris

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time8%
PAOKAris
8%BTTS in both halves0%
PAOKAris
33%Scored in both halves17%
PAOKAris

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
PAOKAris
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
PAOKAris
40%BTTS - last 560%
PAOKAris

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
PAOKAris
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time8%
PAOKAris
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PAOKAris

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
PAOKAris
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
PAOKAris
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
PAOKAris

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PAOK is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / game - PAOK · 1.33 pts / game - Aris

PAOK - half-time state
42% leading42% draw17% trailing
Aris - half-time state
25% leading58% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per game (1st half)1.33
PAOKAris
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.33
PAOKAris
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
PAOKAris
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.58
PAOKAris
67%Clean sheet before half-time75%
PAOKAris
50%No goal before half-time67%
PAOKAris

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per game (2nd half)1.17
PAOKAris
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
PAOKAris
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
PAOKAris
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.42
PAOKAris
75%Clean sheet after half-time42%
PAOKAris
25%No goal after half-time50%
PAOKAris

PAOK - second-half results

75% W8% D17% L
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Aris - second-half results

33% W17% D50% L
16
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

PAOK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.603.00
Goals scored / game0.82.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+1+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Aris - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.40
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.41.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

PAOK
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
6
2
61-75
6
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Aris
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

PAOK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.94
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Aris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

PAOKLigaAris
Average goals per game 2.922.75 2.00
Both teams scored 42%51% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%51% 33%
Clean sheets 58%26% 25%
Goal before half-time 67%70% 50%
Goal after half-time 92%85% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PAOKYellow cardLuka Ivanušec
  2. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Anestis MythouOff: Giorgos Giakoumakis
  3. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Kiril Vasilev DespodovOff: Luka Ivanušec
  4. PAOKYellow cardMagomed Ozdoev
  5. PAOKSubstitutionOn: Mohamed Mady CamaraOff: Magomed Ozdoev
  6. ArisSubstitutionOn: Michail PanagidisOff: Noah Fadiga

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of PAOK vs Aris?

The Super League match finished PAOK 3:1 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs Aris?

PAOK score 2.17 goals per game on average and Aris 0.92. The Super League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of PAOK's matches and 50% of Aris's.

What form are PAOK and Aris in?

Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Aris 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs Aris?

The statistical background for PAOK vs Aris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.