PAOK vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

PAOK play Aris in Super League (Greece). The match date is 7 December 2025 at 18:30. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

PAOK: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Aris: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

PAOK scores 1.84 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. Aris scores 1.06 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: PAOK 44%, Aris 50%. Over 2.5: PAOK 56%, Aris 34%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

PAOK has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.49. PAOK: 13.2 shots per match, Aris: 13.8.

Match halves

PAOK: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.91. Aris: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

PAOK: 31-45+ (11 goals). Aris: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

65Possession (%)35
PAOKAris
19Shots9
PAOKAris
6Shots on target3
PAOKAris
2.03xG0.88
PAOKAris
7Corners2
PAOKAris
57Dangerous attacks14
PAOKAris
11Fouls11
PAOKAris
2Cards0
PAOKAris

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.84Goals scored / match1.06
PAOKAris
0.78Goals conceded / match1
PAOKAris
60%Average possession51%
PAOKAris
4.56Shots on target / match4.22
PAOKAris

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.22Shots per match13.84
PAOKAris
4.56Shots on target4.22
PAOKAris
13.9%Shot conversion7.7%
PAOKAris
60%Possession51%
PAOKAris
1.55xG for1.49
PAOKAris
1xG against1.21
PAOKAris

Shooting quality

PAOK: Efficient finishingAris: Balanced
PAOKAris
Accuracy (shots on target)34%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aris is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - PAOK · 3 pts / match - Aris

PAOK
LWDDD
Season result split
56% W31% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-10-4
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +34
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-4-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Aris
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
34% W41% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-13-8
1.44 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PAOK is 74% better for: goals scored per match.

1.84 goals / match - PAOK · 1.06 goals / match - Aris

PAOK is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.78 goals / match - PAOK · 1 goals / match - Aris

PAOK scoring profile: strong

PAOK scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).

Aris scoring profile: mixed

Aris scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 50% (16 of 32 matches).

59Goals scored (season)34
PAOKAris
25Goals conceded (season)32
PAOKAris
2.63Average goals in match2.06
PAOKAris
7Goals scored (last 5)13
PAOKAris
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
PAOKAris

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal69%
PAOKAris
56%2 goals28%
PAOKAris
38%3 goals9%
PAOKAris
9%4 goals0%
PAOKAris

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal66%
PAOKAris
22%2 goals25%
PAOKAris
6%3 goals9%
PAOKAris
0%4 goals0%
PAOKAris

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time16%
PAOKAris
3%BTTS in both halves0%
PAOKAris
34%Scored in both halves22%
PAOKAris

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
PAOKAris
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
PAOKAris
80%BTTS - last 560%
PAOKAris

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
PAOKAris
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
PAOKAris
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
PAOKAris

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
PAOKAris
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time34%
PAOKAris
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
PAOKAris

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PAOK is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.88 pts / match - PAOK · 1.41 pts / match - Aris

PAOK - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing
Aris - half-time state
31% leading47% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.88Points per match (1st half)1.41
PAOKAris
0.94Goals scored (1st half)0.5
PAOKAris
0.34Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
PAOKAris
1.28Average goals (1st half)0.88
PAOKAris
72%Clean sheet before half-time69%
PAOKAris
44%No goal before half-time53%
PAOKAris

After half-time (2nd half)

1.78Points per match (2nd half)1.13
PAOKAris
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
PAOKAris
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
PAOKAris
1.34Average goals (2nd half)1.19
PAOKAris
66%Clean sheet after half-time53%
PAOKAris
44%No goal after half-time56%
PAOKAris

PAOK - second-half results

50% W28% R22% P
60
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
57
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aris - second-half results

25% W38% R38% P
45
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PAOK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Aris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.01.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

PAOK
ScoredConceded
9
3
0-15
10
4
16-30
11
4
31-45
10
2
46-60
9
8
61-75
10
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Aris
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
7
3
16-30
6
5
31-45
3
10
46-60
8
3
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.34
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

PAOK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Aris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

PAOKLigaAris
Average goals in match 2.632.57 2.06
Both teams scored 44%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%50% 34%
Clean sheets 50%30% 34%
Goal before half-time 69%71% 63%
Goal after half-time 78%75% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: PAOK 0 - 1 - 0 Aris. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of PAOK vs Aris?

The Super League match finished PAOK 3:1 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs Aris?

PAOK score 1.84 goals per game on average and Aris 1.06. The Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 44% of PAOK's matches and 50% of Aris's.

What form are PAOK and Aris in?

Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Aris 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs Aris?

The statistical background for PAOK vs Aris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.