Cyprus - First DivisionStadio Stelios KyriakidesData current as of October 15, 2026

Paphos vs APOEL: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Paphos vs APOEL: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Paphos plays APOEL in First Division (Cyprus). The game is scheduled for October 19, 2026. Venue: Stadio Stelios Kyriakides.

Recent form

Paphos has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. APOEL has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Paphos scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 0.60. APOEL scores 2.40 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 3.00 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 20% of Paphos's games and 80% of APOEL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 100%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 69% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paphos has the higher season xG average, 2.05 to 1.55 per game. Paphos takes 17.0 shots per game, while APOEL takes 11.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Paphos leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. APOEL leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Paphos's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For APOEL, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

First Division games average 3.00 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 69% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.4Goals scored / game2.4
PaphosAPOEL
0.6Goals allowed / game1.6
PaphosAPOEL
59%Average possession61%
PaphosAPOEL
6Shots on target / game5.8
PaphosAPOEL

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17Shots per game11.4
PaphosAPOEL
6Shots on target5.8
PaphosAPOEL
8.2%Shot conversion21.1%
PaphosAPOEL
59%Possession61%
PaphosAPOEL
2.05xG for1.55
PaphosAPOEL
1.36xG against1.11
PaphosAPOEL

Shooting quality

Paphos: DominantAPOEL: Efficient finishing
PaphosAPOEL
Accuracy (shots on target)35%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Paphos is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Paphos · 1.4 pts / game - APOEL

Paphos
WDWLW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
APOEL
LWLDW
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

APOEL is 71% better for: goals scored per game.

1.4 goals / game - Paphos · 2.4 goals / game - APOEL

Paphos is 167% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.6 goals / game - Paphos · 1.6 goals / game - APOEL

Paphos scoring profile: strong

Paphos scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

APOEL scoring profile: strong

APOEL scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

7Goals scored (season)12
PaphosAPOEL
3Goals conceded (season)8
PaphosAPOEL
2Average goals per game4
PaphosAPOEL
7Goals scored (last 5)12
PaphosAPOEL
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
PaphosAPOEL

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal100%
PaphosAPOEL
40%2 goals60%
PaphosAPOEL
40%3 goals20%
PaphosAPOEL
0%4 goals20%
PaphosAPOEL

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal80%
PaphosAPOEL
20%2 goals60%
PaphosAPOEL
0%3 goals20%
PaphosAPOEL
0%4 goals0%
PaphosAPOEL

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
PaphosAPOEL
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PaphosAPOEL
20%Scored in both halves60%
PaphosAPOEL

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
PaphosAPOEL
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
PaphosAPOEL
20%BTTS - last 580%
PaphosAPOEL

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

40%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
PaphosAPOEL
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
PaphosAPOEL
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
PaphosAPOEL

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PaphosAPOEL
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
PaphosAPOEL
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
PaphosAPOEL

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paphos - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing
APOEL - half-time state
40% leading0% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1.2
PaphosAPOEL
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.8
PaphosAPOEL
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)1
PaphosAPOEL
0.4Average goals (1st half)1.8
PaphosAPOEL
80%Clean sheet before half-time40%
PaphosAPOEL
80%No goal before half-time40%
PaphosAPOEL

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)1.8
PaphosAPOEL
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.6
PaphosAPOEL
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
PaphosAPOEL
1.6Average goals (2nd half)2.2
PaphosAPOEL
80%Clean sheet after half-time40%
PaphosAPOEL
40%No goal after half-time0%
PaphosAPOEL

Paphos - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

APOEL - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Paphos - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.00
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
APOEL - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.81.6
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.82.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Paphos
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

APOEL
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Paphos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.76
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
40%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

APOEL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.85
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

PaphosLigaAPOEL
Average goals per game▼ 2.003.00▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▼ 20%60%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%69%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▲ 60%26%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 40%71%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%89%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+-1%
Home attack advantage
+-1%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
66%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Paphos's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against APOEL. Games average 2.75 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

FAQ

When do Paphos and APOEL play?

Paphos face APOEL on October 19, 2026 in First Division at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paphos and APOEL?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Paphos won 3, APOEL won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs APOEL?

Paphos score 1.40 goals per game on average and APOEL 2.40. The First Division average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Paphos's matches and 80% of APOEL's.

What form are Paphos and APOEL in?

Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and APOEL 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs APOEL?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.