Paraguarí vs Encarnación: match statistics
Paraguarí vs Encarnación: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paraguarí played against Encarnación in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The game was played on April 17, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Paraguarí has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.50 points per game. Encarnación has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 1.50 points per game.
Scoring records
Paraguarí scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.50. Encarnación scores 1.50 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Paraguarí's games and 50% of Encarnación's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 50%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Encarnación has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.36 per game. Paraguarí takes 10.5 shots per game, while Encarnación takes 17.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Paraguarí leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 2.00 goals per game after halftime. Encarnación leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paraguarí's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For Encarnación, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Intermedia games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paraguarí demonstrates high efficiency at home: they average 3.0 goals per game from 8 shots and 3 on target, yielding a 38% conversion rate and an average xG of 1.10; in home fixtures they also record 100% clean sheets (0 goals conceded on average). Encarnación on the road generates significantly more chances (20 shots and 7 on target per game) and a higher xG (2.14), but their conversion is only 10%, translating to 2.0 goals per game and as many as 7 goals conceded in the last 5 matches. In the short term Paraguarí have better points and defensive metrics: 1.5 points per game in the last 5 versus 1.0 for Encarnación, and 3 goals conceded for the hosts versus 7 for the visitors over that period. Although the visitors produce superior xG (2.14 vs 1.10), their low efficiency (10% vs the hosts' 38%) and worse defensive record in the last five matches give Paraguarí the edge in converting created chances. Based on this, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and attacking metrics indicate a clear chance of both teams scoring: Encarnación has xG_for 2.14 vs xG_against_home 1.74, and Paraguarí has xG_for 1.66 vs xG_against_away 1.59, meaning both sides create scoring opportunities (2.14 vs 1.74 and 1.66 vs 1.59). Encarnación averages 20 shots and 7 on target, Paraguarí 15 and 5, and a higher conversion rate 10% vs 7% increases the visitors’ likelihood of finding the net. Although season-long indicators conflict (Paraguarí seasonBTTS 100% vs Encarnación 0% and clean sheets 0% vs 100%), the last 5 matches provide more reliable signals: last5 BTTS 50% for Paraguarí and 60% for Encarnación and last5 xG_for 1.36 vs 1.66. Defensively both teams show vulnerability — last5 xG_against 1.33 for Paraguarí and 1.66 for Encarnación and ga_l5 3 vs 7 demonstrate goals conceded on both sides. Considering the league BTTS share of 56% and the above figures, I assess BTTS probability at ~65% vs 35% for No Goal and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.63 for Paraguarí and 1.94 for Encarnación (total 3.57), calculated as the average of offensive xG and opponent xG: (1.66+1.59)/2≈1.63 and (2.14+1.74)/2=1.94. Both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, while the league average is 3.06 goals per match, which strongly favors the over market. Paraguarí averages 15 shots (5 on target) versus Encarnación’s 20 (7 on target), and the higher xG for the visitors (2.14 vs 1.66) suggests greater offensive productivity and a realistic risk of multiple goals. Additionally, Paraguarí has 100% of matches over 2.5 in seasonal/recent data, whereas Encarnación has 40% over 2.5 in their last 5, so the strongest and safest signal is the over, particularly the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The data clearly favor Encarnación: the visitors have won 100% of their matches and held the lead at the break in 100% of cases. The hosts concede an average of 3.0 goals per match and 2.0 goals by half-time, while Encarnación scores an average of 2.0 goals per match and concedes none this season (0.0). Additionally, the visitors’ xG is 2.14 versus the hosts’ 1.66, and the visitors average 20 shots and 7 on target compared to the hosts’ 15 and 5, with conversion rates of 10% vs 7%. In second halves the visitors average 3.0 points and win 100% of second halves, which suggests they maintain their advantage after the break. On this basis the most reliable scenario is Encarnación leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paraguarí | Encarnación | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.67 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paraguarí is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Paraguarí · 1.5 goals / game - Encarnación
Paraguarí scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Encarnación keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
Encarnación scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Paraguarí keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paraguarí
Over / Under - Encarnación
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Encarnación is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Paraguarí · 1.5 pts / game - Encarnación
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paraguarí - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Encarnación - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paraguarí
Encarnación
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Paraguarí | Liga | Encarnación | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Paraguarí vs Encarnación?
The Division Intermedia match finished Paraguarí 0:1 Encarnación. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paraguarí vs Encarnación?
Paraguarí score 2.00 goals per game on average and Encarnación 1.50. The Division Intermedia average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Paraguarí's matches and 50% of Encarnación's.
What form are Paraguarí and Encarnación in?
Over the last 5 games Paraguarí have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Encarnación 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paraguarí vs Encarnación?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.