Paredes vs AD Marco 09: match statistics
Paredes vs AD Marco 09: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paredes played against AD Marco 09 in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Paredes has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. AD Marco 09 has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Paredes scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 0.74. AD Marco 09 scores 0.78 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 2.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 37% of Paredes's games and 44% of AD Marco 09's. The Over 2.5 rates are 37% and 33%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paredes has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.41 per game. Paredes takes 11.4 shots per game, while AD Marco 09 takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Paredes leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. AD Marco 09 leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.37 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paredes's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For AD Marco 09, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.20 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a draw: Paredes has 32 goals this season versus AD Marco 09's 21, but at home the hosts draw as many as 62% of matches and win 38% (no home defeats recorded in the data). Paredes' defense is a clear advantage — conceding an average of 0.31 goals per home game with 69% clean sheets — whereas AD on the road scores only 0.54 goals on average and has 38% clean sheets. Offensively Paredes averages 12 shots (5 on target) and records xG 1.57 at home with a 10% conversion, compared to AD's 11.15 shots (4.62 on target), xG 1.39 and 5% conversion away. Recent form favors the visitors (AD has 2 wins and 3 draws in 5 matches, 1.8 points per game), while Paredes' last five show a 1-1-3 record and 0.8 points per game, producing a low-scoring scenario and increasing the likelihood of a shared point.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No BTTS in this match. AD Marco 09 failed to score in 54% of their matches this season, and their goals average is only 0.54 per game versus 1.0 for Paredes, which significantly reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Despite similar xG (1.42 for Paredes vs 1.39 for AD Marco), AD Marco have a low shot conversion of 5% on 4.62 shots on target, while Paredes convert 9% on 4.0 shots on target, so the hosts create chances more efficiently. Additionally, in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 40% for Paredes and only 20% for AD Marco, and the league has a high clean sheet rate of 62%, which together gives a stronger signal for No (No Goal/clean sheet expected) than for Yes (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I back the Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal. Both teams have seasonal rates of matches with over 1.5 goals: Paredes 64% and AD Marco 54% (average ≈59%), and the league averages 2.2 goals per match; therefore I estimate the chance of Over 1.5 at 72%. The xG for both sides is 1.42 (Paredes) and 1.39 (AD Marco), which translates to expected 1.40 and 1.25 goals respectively, a combined 2.65 expected goals — clearly above 1.5. The 2.5 line is more uncertain: seasonal Over2.5 are 43% and 23% (average 33%), so with expected 2.65 I assign ≈47% probability to Over 2.5. The 3.5 line is unlikely (seasonOver35 14% and 8%), therefore I rate Over 3.5 at only 12% and take the downside on that line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time statistics indicate a dominance of draws: Paredes were level at HT in 57% of matches, AD Marco 09 in 69%, with home teams leading in only 21% of games versus 8% for away teams. In the second half, however, the advantage goes to Paredes — average goals after the break are 1.07 with 79% of matches seeing a goal after half-time, while AD Marco average 0.77 and 54%. Season-long figures confirm the strength of the hosts: average goals 1.00 vs 0.54, average points 1.64 vs 0.69, and better shot conversion rate — 9% conversion versus 5% for the visitors. Additionally, Paredes scored 14 first-half goals this season compared to AD Marco’s 11, and in the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 6 goals by the break against 1 for the visitors, which suggests the most probable scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a home win at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paredes | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AD Marco 09 is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Paredes · 1.8 pts / game - AD Marco 09
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paredes is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Paredes · 0.78 goals / game - AD Marco 09
Paredes is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.74 goals / game - Paredes · 1.07 goals / game - AD Marco 09
Paredes scores in 56% of games (15 of 27 meczów), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 meczów).
AD Marco 09 scores in 59% of games (16 of 27 meczów), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 44% (12 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paredes
Over / Under - AD Marco 09
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paredes is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / game - Paredes · 1.07 pts / game - AD Marco 09
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paredes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AD Marco 09 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paredes
AD Marco 09
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Paredes | Liga | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.93 | 2.20 | ▼ 1.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 37% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 31% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Paredes's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against AD Marco 09. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paredes vs AD Marco 09?
The Liga 3 match finished Paredes 2:2 AD Marco 09. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paredes and AD Marco 09?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Paredes won 3, AD Marco 09 won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paredes vs AD Marco 09?
Paredes score 1.19 goals per game on average and AD Marco 09 0.78. The Liga 3 average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Paredes's matches and 44% of AD Marco 09's.
What form are Paredes and AD Marco 09 in?
Over the last 5 games Paredes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and AD Marco 09 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paredes vs AD Marco 09?
The statistical background for Paredes vs AD Marco 09 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.