Paredes vs AD Marco 09: match statistics
Paredes vs AD Marco 09: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paredes play AD Marco 09 in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Paredes: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. AD Marco 09: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paredes scores 1.21 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. AD Marco 09 scores 0.82 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paredes 39%, AD Marco 09 46%. Over 2.5: Paredes 39%, AD Marco 09 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Paredes has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.40. Paredes: 11.5 shots per match, AD Marco 09: 11.1.
Match halves
Paredes: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.39. AD Marco 09: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Paredes: 0-15 (8 goals). AD Marco 09: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 3-0-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a draw: Paredes has 32 goals this season versus AD Marco 09's 21, but at home the hosts draw as many as 62% of matches and win 38% (no home defeats recorded in the data). Paredes' defense is a clear advantage — conceding an average of 0.31 goals per home game with 69% clean sheets — whereas AD on the road scores only 0.54 goals on average and has 38% clean sheets. Offensively Paredes averages 12 shots (5 on target) and records xG 1.57 at home with a 10% conversion, compared to AD's 11.15 shots (4.62 on target), xG 1.39 and 5% conversion away. Recent form favors the visitors (AD has 2 wins and 3 draws in 5 matches, 1.8 points per game), while Paredes' last five show a 1-1-3 record and 0.8 points per game, producing a low-scoring scenario and increasing the likelihood of a shared point.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paredes | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AD Marco 09 is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Paredes · 1.8 pts / match - AD Marco 09
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paredes is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Paredes · 0.82 goals / match - AD Marco 09
Paredes is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Paredes · 1.11 goals / match - AD Marco 09
Paredes scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
AD Marco 09 scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paredes
Over / Under — AD Marco 09
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paredes is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Paredes · 1.14 pts / match - AD Marco 09
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paredes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AD Marco 09 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paredes
AD Marco 09
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Paredes | Liga | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.23 | ▼ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 31% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Paredes 3 - 0 - 0 AD Marco 09. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paredes vs AD Marco 09?
The Liga 3 match finished Paredes 2:2 AD Marco 09. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paredes and AD Marco 09?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Paredes won 3, AD Marco 09 won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paredes vs AD Marco 09?
Paredes score 1.21 goals per game on average and AD Marco 09 0.82. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Paredes's matches and 46% of AD Marco 09's.
What form are Paredes and AD Marco 09 in?
Over the last 5 games Paredes have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and AD Marco 09 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paredes vs AD Marco 09?
The statistical background for Paredes vs AD Marco 09 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.