Parma vs Cagliari: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Parma occupies 12th place in the table with a home goal difference of -8, winning just 23% of home matches, while Cagliari sits 13th with a similar -7 record away and also a 23% win rate. Both teams are characterized by poor efficiency – Parma scores an average of 0.77 goals per match at home, and Cagliari 1.0 goal away, with a high percentage of conceded goals (1.38 vs 1.54). Form over the last five matches slightly favors Parma (3 wins, 1.8 PPG) over Cagliari (2 wins, 1.4 PPG), but the difference is not significant. Considering similar xG metrics, a high probability of Parma failing to score (46% FTS), and balanced possession statistics, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this meeting.
Parma vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Parma played against Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Parma has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Cagliari has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Parma scores 0.73 goals per game and allows 1.19. Cagliari scores 1.08 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Parma's games and 46% of Cagliari's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 46%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Parma has the higher season xG average, 1.22 to 1.08 per game. Parma takes 11.5 shots per game, while Cagliari takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Parma leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Cagliari leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Parma's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Cagliari, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Parma occupies 12th place in the table with a home goal difference of -8, winning just 23% of home matches, while Cagliari sits 13th with a similar -7 record away and also a 23% win rate. Both teams are characterized by poor efficiency – Parma scores an average of 0.77 goals per match at home, and Cagliari 1.0 goal away, with a high percentage of conceded goals (1.38 vs 1.54). Form over the last five matches slightly favors Parma (3 wins, 1.8 PPG) over Cagliari (2 wins, 1.4 PPG), but the difference is not significant. Considering similar xG metrics, a high probability of Parma failing to score (46% FTS), and balanced possession statistics, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this meeting.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Parma | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Parma is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Parma · 1.4 pts / game - Cagliari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cagliari is 48% better for: goals scored per game.
0.73 goals / game - Parma · 1.08 goals / game - Cagliari
Parma is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - Parma · 1.35 goals / game - Cagliari
Parma scores in 54% of games (14 of 26 meczów), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
Cagliari scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Parma
Over / Under - Cagliari
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Parma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Parma
Cagliari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Parma | Liga | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.92 | 2.42 | • 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 32% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 65% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 77% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Parma's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cagliari. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Parma vs Cagliari?
The Serie A match finished Parma 1:1 Cagliari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Parma vs Cagliari?
Parma score 0.73 goals per game on average and Cagliari 1.08. The Serie A average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Parma's matches and 46% of Cagliari's.
What form are Parma and Cagliari in?
Over the last 5 games Parma have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Cagliari 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Parma vs Cagliari?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Parma vs Cagliari: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.