Parma vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Parma played against Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on December 27, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Parma has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Fiorentina has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Parma scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 1.20. Fiorentina scores 1.06 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Parma's games and 69% of Fiorentina's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 63%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fiorentina has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.20 per game. Parma takes 11.3 shots per game, while Fiorentina takes 12.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Parma leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Fiorentina leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.63 after halftime.

When the teams score

Parma's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Fiorentina, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58
ParmaFiorentina
13Shots23
ParmaFiorentina
2Shots on target4
ParmaFiorentina
1.3xG2.31
ParmaFiorentina
5Corners6
ParmaFiorentina
48Dangerous attacks82
ParmaFiorentina
10Fouls15
ParmaFiorentina
2Cards2
ParmaFiorentina

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.67Goals scored / game1.06
ParmaFiorentina
1.2Goals allowed / game1.69
ParmaFiorentina
42%Average possession53%
ParmaFiorentina
3.07Shots on target / game3
ParmaFiorentina

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.33Shots per game12.69
ParmaFiorentina
3.07Shots on target3
ParmaFiorentina
5.9%Shot conversion8.4%
ParmaFiorentina
42%Possession53%
ParmaFiorentina
1.2xG for1.28
ParmaFiorentina
1.49xG against1.47
ParmaFiorentina

Shooting quality

Parma: BalancedFiorentina: Balanced
ParmaFiorentina
Accuracy (shots on target)27%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Parma is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Parma · 0.8 pts / game - Fiorentina

Parma
DWLWL
Season result split
20% W33% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-7
0.93 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-4
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Fiorentina
DLLLW
Season result split
6% W38% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-6-9
0.56 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fiorentina is 58% better for: goals scored per game.

0.67 goals / game - Parma · 1.06 goals / game - Fiorentina

Parma is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.2 goals / game - Parma · 1.69 goals / game - Fiorentina

Parma scoring profile: strong

Parma scores in 47% of games (7 of 15 meczów), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).

Fiorentina scoring profile: strong

Fiorentina scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).

10Goals scored (season)17
ParmaFiorentina
18Goals conceded (season)27
ParmaFiorentina
1.87Average goals per game2.75
ParmaFiorentina
5Goals scored (last 5)8
ParmaFiorentina
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
ParmaFiorentina

How often they score at least...

47%1 goal69%
ParmaFiorentina
20%2 goals19%
ParmaFiorentina
0%3 goals6%
ParmaFiorentina
0%4 goals6%
ParmaFiorentina

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal88%
ParmaFiorentina
40%2 goals63%
ParmaFiorentina
7%3 goals19%
ParmaFiorentina
0%4 goals0%
ParmaFiorentina

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time19%
ParmaFiorentina
0%BTTS in both halves6%
ParmaFiorentina
20%Scored in both halves13%
ParmaFiorentina

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ParmaFiorentina
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ParmaFiorentina
40%BTTS - last 580%
ParmaFiorentina

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
ParmaFiorentina
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
ParmaFiorentina
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
ParmaFiorentina

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
ParmaFiorentina
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
ParmaFiorentina
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
ParmaFiorentina

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Parma is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / game - Parma · 0.75 pts / game - Fiorentina

Parma - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing
Fiorentina - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per game (1st half)0.75
ParmaFiorentina
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.44
ParmaFiorentina
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
ParmaFiorentina
0.73Average goals (1st half)1.19
ParmaFiorentina
67%Clean sheet before half-time44%
ParmaFiorentina
67%No goal before half-time69%
ParmaFiorentina

After half-time (2nd half)

0.73Points per game (2nd half)1.06
ParmaFiorentina
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
ParmaFiorentina
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
ParmaFiorentina
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.56
ParmaFiorentina
40%Clean sheet after half-time31%
ParmaFiorentina
67%No goal after half-time50%
ParmaFiorentina

Parma - second-half results

7% W53% D40% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fiorentina - second-half results

19% W50% D31% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding46%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 6%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Parma - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fiorentina - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Parma
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Fiorentina
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Parma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Fiorentina

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

ParmaLigaFiorentina
Average goals per game 1.872.34 2.75
Both teams scored 40%47% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%44% 63%
Clean sheets 27%32% 13%
Goal before half-time 53%64% 69%
Goal after half-time 67%74% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ParmaYellow cardAlessandro Circati
  2. FiorentinaYellow cardRolando Mandragora
  3. FiorentinaSubstitutionOn: Niccolò FortiniOff: Mattia Viti
  4. FiorentinaSubstitutionOn: Roberto PiccoliOff: Rolando Mandragora
  5. ParmaYellow cardEdoardo Corvi
  6. FiorentinaSubstitutionOn: Eddy Nda Konan KouadioOff: Pietro Comuzzo
  7. FiorentinaYellow cardMarin Pongracic

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Marco GuidaMatches officiated: 15
4.4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins27%Draws33%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Parma vs Fiorentina?

The Serie A match finished Parma 1:0 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Parma vs Fiorentina?

Parma score 0.67 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.06. The Serie A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Parma's matches and 69% of Fiorentina's.

What form are Parma and Fiorentina in?

Over the last 5 games Parma have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Parma vs Fiorentina?

The statistical background for Parma vs Fiorentina — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.