Pars Jam Bushehr vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm: match statistics

Pars Jam Bushehr have shown significantly better form in their last five matches, recording 4 wins and 1 draw for a total of 13 points, while Shenavarsazi Qeshm have collected 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The hosts have scored 12 goals during this period, averaging 2.4 per game, while conceding just 2 goals. The visitors have also been consistent in front of goal, scoring 10 times in five matches, but their defense has conceded 7 goals—more than three times as many as Pars Jam’s back line. The difference in average points gained over the last five matches, 2.6 compared with 1.6, further underlines the hosts’ advantage. Shenavarsazi Qeshm can be dangerous in attack, but Pars Jam Bushehr’s consistency at both ends of the pitch makes a home win the most convincing outcome.

Data from the last five matches points to the attacking potential of both teams: Pars Jam Bushehr averaged 2.4 goals, while Shenavarsazi Qeshm averaged 2.0. The visitors recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, significantly more often than the hosts at 40%. During this period, Shenavarsazi Qeshm conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match, which supports the likelihood of a goal from the in-form hosts. Pars Jam Bushehr conceded just 2 goals in five appearances, or 0.4 per match, so the likelihood of the visitors scoring is not equally strong. Despite the hosts’ solid defensive record, Shenavarsazi Qeshm’s superior recent scoring consistency gives a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score (BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal).

Pars Jam Bushehr are in very good form: they have scored 12 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 per game, while conceding just 2. Shenavarsazi Qeshm have also been scoring regularly, with an average of 2.0 goals and 10 goals during this period, although their defense has conceded 7 goals, or 1.4 per match. For both teams, 3 of their last 5 matches went Over 2.5 goals, supporting a scenario of around 2–3 goals. At the same time, the home side have shown excellent defensive solidity, while the divergent and exceptionally low xG figures of 0.08 and 0.15 reduce confidence in a high-scoring game. The strongest pick remains Under 3.5, as with a projected total of 2.65 goals, four or more goals would require a clear deviation from the most likely score range.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Pars Jam Bushehr win at full-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 40% of their last five matches. However, the hosts have been clearly more effective over this period: they won 4 of 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, while Shenavarsazi Qeshm averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The second half should prove decisive, with Pars Jam averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, compared with the visitors’ averages of 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. The hosts won the second half in 80% of these matches, whereas Shenavarsazi Qeshm failed to win any, strongly supporting the X/1 HT/FT outcome.