Scotland - ChampionshipData current as of September 12, 2026

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United: match statistics

Partick Thistle crest
Partick Thistle
2 : 1half-time 2:0
Ayr United crest
Ayr United
155%(1.90)
X30%(3.35)
215%(3.75)

Partick Thistle presents impressive home form with 73% of home matches won and only one defeat in their last 5 overall fixtures. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table, scoring an average of 1.91 goals per home match while conceding just 0.82, giving them a goal difference of +12 in home games. Ayr United, despite a solid position in the table (4th place), has clearly weaker away form with 55% draws and only 36% victories on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.42), and Partick holds the advantage in possession (55% vs 47%) and shot efficiency. Given Partick Thistle's dominance at their own stadium and Ayr United's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely result is a victory for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic option.

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Partick Thistle played against Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Partick Thistle has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Ayr United has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Partick Thistle scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.14. Ayr United scores 1.29 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of Partick Thistle's games and 62% of Ayr United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 33%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Partick Thistle has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.43 per game. Partick Thistle takes 13.6 shots per game, while Ayr United takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Partick Thistle leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Ayr United leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Partick Thistle's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (10 goals). For Ayr United, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Partick Thistle presents impressive home form with 73% of home matches won and only one defeat in their last 5 overall fixtures. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table, scoring an average of 1.91 goals per home match while conceding just 0.82, giving them a goal difference of +12 in home games. Ayr United, despite a solid position in the table (4th place), has clearly weaker away form with 55% draws and only 36% victories on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.42), and Partick holds the advantage in possession (55% vs 47%) and shot efficiency. Given Partick Thistle's dominance at their own stadium and Ayr United's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely result is a victory for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic option.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

40Possession (%)60
Partick ThistleAyr United
11Shots12
Partick ThistleAyr United
6Shots on target3
Partick ThistleAyr United
1.57xG1.44
Partick ThistleAyr United
9Corners4
Partick ThistleAyr United
62Dangerous attacks65
Partick ThistleAyr United
10Fouls7
Partick ThistleAyr United
0Cards3
Partick ThistleAyr United

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Partick ThistleAyr United
1.5Goals scored / game1.29
Partick ThistleAyr United
1.14Goals allowed / game1.14
Partick ThistleAyr United
56%Average possession50%
Partick ThistleAyr United
4.91Shots on target / game4.52
Partick ThistleAyr United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.55Shots per game11.14
Partick ThistleAyr United
4.91Shots on target4.52
Partick ThistleAyr United
11.1%Shot conversion11.5%
Partick ThistleAyr United
56%Possession50%
Partick ThistleAyr United
1.7xG for1.43
Partick ThistleAyr United
1.22xG against1.27
Partick ThistleAyr United

Shooting quality

Partick Thistle: BalancedAyr United: Balanced
Partick ThistleAyr United
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ayr United is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Partick Thistle · 1.2 pts / game - Ayr United

Partick Thistle
LDDWL
Season result split
50% W32% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-7-4
1.82 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ayr United
DLWDD
Season result split
29% W52% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-11-4
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-1
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DDWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Partick Thistle is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Partick Thistle · 1.29 goals / game - Ayr United

Partick Thistle scoring profile: very strong

Partick Thistle scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).

Ayr United scoring profile: strong

Ayr United scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Partick Thistle keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).

33Goals scored (season)27
Partick ThistleAyr United
25Goals conceded (season)24
Partick ThistleAyr United
2.64Average goals per game2.43
Partick ThistleAyr United
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Partick ThistleAyr United
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
Partick ThistleAyr United

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal76%
Partick ThistleAyr United
41%2 goals33%
Partick ThistleAyr United
18%3 goals14%
Partick ThistleAyr United
5%4 goals5%
Partick ThistleAyr United

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal71%
Partick ThistleAyr United
32%2 goals29%
Partick ThistleAyr United
5%3 goals10%
Partick ThistleAyr United
5%4 goals5%
Partick ThistleAyr United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Partick ThistleAyr United
14%Scored in both halves10%
Partick ThistleAyr United

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Partick ThistleAyr United
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Partick ThistleAyr United
60%BTTS - last 580%
Partick ThistleAyr United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Partick ThistleAyr United
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Partick ThistleAyr United
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Partick ThistleAyr United

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
Partick ThistleAyr United
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Partick ThistleAyr United
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Partick ThistleAyr United

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ayr United is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / game - Partick Thistle · 1.76 pts / game - Ayr United

Partick Thistle - half-time state
36% leading32% draw32% trailing
Ayr United - half-time state
52% leading19% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per game (1st half)1.76
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.95
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Partick ThistleAyr United
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.38
Partick ThistleAyr United
59%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Partick ThistleAyr United
55%No goal before half-time38%
Partick ThistleAyr United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per game (2nd half)1.05
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Partick ThistleAyr United
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.05
Partick ThistleAyr United
64%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Partick ThistleAyr United
50%No goal after half-time76%
Partick ThistleAyr United

Partick Thistle - second-half results

41% W32% D27% L
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ayr United - second-half results

19% W48% D33% L
37
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Partick Thistle - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ayr United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.200.40
Goals scored / game1.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.21.4
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%100%
Goal difference+6-7
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Partick Thistle
ScoredConceded
10
3
0-15
3
6
16-30
2
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
2
6
61-75
10
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
6
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
2
7
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.53
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Partick Thistle

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Partick ThistleLigaAyr United
Average goals per game 2.642.49 2.43
Both teams scored 59%51% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%45% 33%
Clean sheets 32%31% 29%
Goal before half-time 73%70% 86%
Goal after half-time 73%72% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.17
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Partick ThistleGoalLogan ChalmersAssist: Patrick Reading
  2. Partick ThistleGoalAlex SamuelAssist: Luke McBeth
  3. Ayr UnitedGoalCurtis Main
  4. Partick ThistleSubstitutionOn: Robbie CrawfordOff: Logan Chalmers
  5. Ayr UnitedYellow cardMarco Rus
  6. Ayr UnitedSubstitutionOn: George OakleyOff: Anton Dowds
  7. Partick ThistleSubstitutionOn: Scott MartinOff: Ben Stanway
  8. Ayr UnitedYellow cardLeon Thomson King
  9. Ayr UnitedYellow cardBen Dempsey
  10. Partick ThistleSubstitutionOn: Ricco DiackOff: Alex Samuel

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Grant IrvineMatches officiated: 15
3.87Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 253%Home wins27%Draws20%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Partick Thistle's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ayr United. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Ayr United FC
0 : 0
Partick Thistle FC
Partick Thistle FC
2 : 1
Ayr United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

The Championship match finished Partick Thistle 2:1 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Partick Thistle and Ayr United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Partick Thistle won 1, Ayr United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

Partick Thistle score 1.50 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.29. The Championship average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Partick Thistle's matches and 62% of Ayr United's.

What form are Partick Thistle and Ayr United in?

Over the last 5 games Partick Thistle have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ayr United 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

The statistical background for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.