Partick Thistle vs Livingston: match statistics

Livingston have looked slightly stronger over their last five matches, collecting 11 points from 3 wins and 2 draws, while Partick Thistle have taken 9 points from 2 victories and 3 draws. The visitors have been significantly more effective in front of goal, scoring 13 times during this period—3 more than the hosts. Livingston’s biggest advantage lies in their defense, which has conceded just 1 goal in five matches, compared with the 5 goals conceded by Partick Thistle. Both teams remain unbeaten in their last five outings, while the hosts’ three draws point to the possibility of a closely contested match. However, Livingston’s marginally greater attacking potential and significantly tighter defense make them the stronger pick for an away win.

The No Goal scenario has a slight edge, as Livingston conceded just 0.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches and maintained a very solid defensive record. BTTS - Yes occurred in only 20% of Livingston’s last five appearances, while Partick Thistle recorded this outcome in 60% of matches, providing a clearly mixed signal. However, the hosts create plenty of chances, with an average xG of 2.15 and 2.0 goals scored in their last 5 matches, so their goal remains a realistic possibility. Livingston scored 2.6 goals per game during this period, but Partick Thistle allowed opponents only 0.67 xG, making it more likely that at least one side will fail to convert its chances. In other words, BTTS - No means that at least one team does not score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Data from the last five matches points to strong attacking form from both sides: Partick Thistle averaged 2.0 goals, while Livingston recorded as many as 2.6. At the same time, Livingston conceded just 1 goal during this period, or 0.2 per match, with an average xG allowed of 0.61, which clearly limits the outlook for the hosts. Partick Thistle are also defending solidly, averaging 0.67 xG allowed, so despite the visitors’ chance-creation quality being rated at 1.91 xG, a more controlled scoreline is expected. The 3.5 line leans towards the under, as the projected total of 2.40 goals remains clearly below four goals, while only 60% of the hosts’ recent matches and 20% of Livingston’s games went Over 2.5 goals.

Partick Thistle have a very strong home-season signal: they won their only match so far by 2–0, posting 2.15 xG, 17 shots and 7 shots on target. However, the current sample is extremely small, so the more relevant form over the last five matches points to an even contest: the hosts are averaging 2.0 goals, compared with Livingston’s 2.6, while neither team has suffered a defeat. Thistle are more likely to struggle to establish an early lead, having been level at half-time in 40% of their last five matches. However, in their only home game, the score was 0–0 at the break, with both goals coming after half-time. The hosts have averaged 1.0 goal after the break across their last five matches and won the second half in 60% of those fixtures. Therefore, the scenario of Thistle leading at the break and holding on for the win remains the most highly rated HT/FT outcome, although a draw at half-time followed by a Thistle victory is a very close alternative.