Pau vs Annecy: match statistics

Annecy enter the match as league leaders, while Pau sit 13th. In their last five matches, the visitors have scored 11 goals—an average of 2.2 per game—clearly more than Pau’s 6 goals (1.2 per game). Pau have suffered as many as 4 defeats in their last 5 matches and conceded 17 goals during that period, resulting in a highly concerning average of 3.4 goals per game. Annecy have won 2 of their last 5 matches, drawn twice and collected an average of 1.6 points per game, compared with just 0.6 for Pau. The visitors are not flawless defensively, having conceded 7 goals in five matches, but their advantage in current attacking form and the hosts’ significantly weaker defense point towards an Annecy victory.

The signal for BTTS - Yes is particularly strong on the Annecy side, as both teams scored in 100% of their last 5 matches, with Annecy averaging 2.2 goals. Pau recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five appearances, while their very weak defense conceded an average of 3.4 goals per match, meaning the visitors should create plenty of goalscoring opportunities. The hosts scored 6 goals during this period, averaging 1.2 per match, while Annecy, despite being in good form, conceded an average of 1.4 goals, giving Pau a realistic route to finding the net. Pau’s attacking potential is supported by an xG of 1.09, only slightly lower than Annecy’s 1.20, making a match in which both teams score more likely than a No Goal scenario where one of the sides fails to score.

Pau’s last five matches produced an average of 4.6 goals, with the team scoring 1.2 but conceding as many as 3.4 per game. Over the same period, Annecy averaged 2.2 goals scored, while its matches featured an average of 3.6 goals. The 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 80% of the last five matches involving both teams, while Annecy saw both teams score in 100% of those games. However, the 3.05-goal projection is based on a more cautious xG reading: 1.09 for Pau and 1.20 for Annecy, with the hosts’ defense particularly vulnerable, allowing opponents to create chances worth an average of 1.57 xG. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as even with a partial decline in finishing efficiency, the current profiles of both teams clearly favor at least two goals.

Annecy is showing clearly stronger current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Pau have scored 1.2 and conceded as many as 3.4. The visitors were leading at the break in 67% of their recent matches and averaged 2.0 points per game before half-time, compared with 25% of such situations and 1.0 point for Pau. The hosts were trailing at half-time in 50% of the matches analyzed, with a half-time goal difference of -4, whereas Annecy recorded a +2 differential. Annecy’s advantage is even more pronounced after the break: they average 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Pau score only 0.5 and allow opponents 2.5. The most likely scenario, therefore, is an HT/FT outcome of 1/1, with Annecy taking the lead before half-time and holding it until the final whistle.