Pau vs Bastia: match statistics
Pau performs decidedly better at their own stadium than Bastia does in away matches. The hosts average 1.31 goals per match at home and have a higher xG index (1.51 vs 1.02), which attests to their offensive potential. Bastia has a catastrophic efficiency on the road – only 8% wins, a staggering 75% of matches without scoring a goal, and an average of merely 0.42 goals per match. Although Pau has recently lost three consecutive matches, their home record (31% win rate) and statistical advantage in xG and possession (54% vs 48%) give them a real chance for three points. Considering the poor form of both teams, a draw is also possible, but the hosts' advantage in key offensive parameters argues for their victory.
Pau vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Pau played against Bastia in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Pau has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bastia has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Pau scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.68. Bastia scores 0.48 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Pau's games and 24% of Bastia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 16%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Pau has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.20 per game. Pau takes 13.0 shots per game, while Bastia takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Pau leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Bastia leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Pau's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Bastia, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pau performs decidedly better at their own stadium than Bastia does in away matches. The hosts average 1.31 goals per match at home and have a higher xG index (1.51 vs 1.02), which attests to their offensive potential. Bastia has a catastrophic efficiency on the road – only 8% wins, a staggering 75% of matches without scoring a goal, and an average of merely 0.42 goals per match. Although Pau has recently lost three consecutive matches, their home record (31% win rate) and statistical advantage in xG and possession (54% vs 48%) give them a real chance for three points. Considering the poor form of both teams, a draw is also possible, but the hosts' advantage in key offensive parameters argues for their victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Pau | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pau is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Pau · 0.8 pts / game - Bastia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pau is 208% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Pau · 0.48 goals / game - Bastia
Bastia is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.68 goals / game - Pau · 1.08 goals / game - Bastia
Pau scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 meczów).
Bastia scores in 36% of games (9 of 25 meczów), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pau
Over / Under - Bastia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pau is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Pau · 0.96 pts / game - Bastia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pau - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 12%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Pau
Bastia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Pau | Liga | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.16 | 2.43 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 46% | ▼ 16% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▼ 48% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Pau's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Bastia. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Pau vs Bastia?
The Ligue 2 match finished Pau 2:2 Bastia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pau vs Bastia?
Pau score 1.48 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.48. The Ligue 2 average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Pau's matches and 24% of Bastia's.
What form are Pau and Bastia in?
Over the last 5 games Pau have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bastia 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pau vs Bastia?
The statistical background for Pau vs Bastia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.