PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

PEC Zwolle play Heerenveen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 28 November 2025 at 20:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

PEC Zwolle: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

PEC Zwolle scores 1.29 and concedes 2.09 goals per match. Heerenveen scores 1.69 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: PEC Zwolle 68%, Heerenveen 66%. Over 2.5: PEC Zwolle 62%, Heerenveen 71%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Heerenveen has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.12. PEC Zwolle: 9.7 shots per match, Heerenveen: 14.9.

Match halves

PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62. Heerenveen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.97.

Goals by minute

PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (10 goals). Heerenveen: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
11Shots19
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
4Shots on target7
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
1.21xG2.09
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
3Corners9
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
31Dangerous attacks56
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
11Fouls19
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
3Cards2
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
1.29Goals scored / match1.69
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
2.09Goals conceded / match1.6
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
45%Average possession51%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
3.53Shots on target / match5.37
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.65Shots per match14.94
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
3.53Shots on target5.37
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
13.4%Shot conversion11.3%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
45%Possession51%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
1.12xG for1.67
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
1.92xG against1.59
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

Shooting quality

PEC Zwolle: Counter-attackingHeerenveen: Attacking
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Heerenveen is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle
DLWLL
Season result split
26% W29% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-15
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-5
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Heerenveen
WWLDL
Season result split
40% W26% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-12
1.46 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Heerenveen is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.69 goals / match - Heerenveen

Heerenveen is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.09 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.6 goals / match - Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle scoring profile: very strong

PEC Zwolle scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).

Heerenveen scoring profile: very strong

Heerenveen scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

44Goals scored (season)59
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
71Goals conceded (season)56
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
3.38Average goals in match3.29
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
6Goals scored (last 5)6
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
13Goals conceded (last 5)6
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal77%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
38%2 goals57%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
6%3 goals29%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
3%4 goals6%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal86%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
59%2 goals54%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
24%3 goals14%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
18%4 goals3%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time31%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
12%BTTS in both halves9%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
26%Scored in both halves43%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
60%BTTS - last 540%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Heerenveen is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.43 pts / match - Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle - half-time state
29% leading35% draw35% trailing
Heerenveen - half-time state
37% leading31% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.43
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.71
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
0.97Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
1.65Average goals (1st half)1.43
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
41%Clean sheet before half-time46%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
44%No goal before half-time40%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.29
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
1.12Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.86
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
32%Clean sheet after half-time40%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen
47%No goal after half-time40%
PEC ZwolleHeerenveen

PEC Zwolle - second-half results

15% W50% R35% P
42
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Heerenveen - second-half results

31% W34% R34% P
50
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PEC Zwolle - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.62.0
Average goals in match1.02.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Heerenveen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

PEC Zwolle
ScoredConceded
10
7
0-15
6
10
16-30
7
16
31-45
7
10
46-60
7
9
61-75
7
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.

Heerenveen
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
8
11
16-30
14
7
31-45
11
12
46-60
10
8
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+80%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

PEC Zwolle

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Heerenveen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

PEC ZwolleLigaHeerenveen
Average goals in match 3.383.17 3.29
Both teams scored 68%63% 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%61% 71%
Clean sheets 18%20% 14%
Goal before half-time 82%80% 83%
Goal after half-time 79%84% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: PEC Zwolle 0 - 0 - 1 Heerenveen. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?

The Eredivisie match finished PEC Zwolle 2:1 Heerenveen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?

PEC Zwolle score 1.29 goals per game on average and Heerenveen 1.69. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 68% of PEC Zwolle's matches and 66% of Heerenveen's.

What form are PEC Zwolle and Heerenveen in?

Over the last 5 games PEC Zwolle have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Heerenveen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.