Peñarol vs Cerro: match statistics
Peñarol holds a decisive advantage in all key statistics for this match. The hosts win 67% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal, which results in a positive goal difference of +3. On the other hand, Cerro have not won any away match this season, showing a 100% loss rate on the road and failing to score a single goal in away matches. The form of both teams also favors Peñarol – the hosts have earned 2 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Cerro have managed only 0.4 points. Additionally, Cerro have lost their last two away matches in a row and have a negative goal difference of -4 on the road. All these factors point to a decisive victory for Peñarol in this match.
Peñarol vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peñarol play Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 23:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cerro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peñarol scores 1.45 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Cerro scores 0.60 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peñarol 55%, Cerro 40%. Over 2.5: Peñarol 40%, Cerro 35%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.32. Peñarol: 14.8 shots per match, Cerro: 11.4.
Match halves
Peñarol: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.85. Cerro: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Peñarol: 76-90+ (10 goals). Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 3-0-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.
Match description
Peñarol holds a decisive advantage in all key statistics for this match. The hosts win 67% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal, which results in a positive goal difference of +3. On the other hand, Cerro have not won any away match this season, showing a 100% loss rate on the road and failing to score a single goal in away matches. The form of both teams also favors Peñarol – the hosts have earned 2 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Cerro have managed only 0.4 points. Additionally, Cerro have lost their last two away matches in a row and have a negative goal difference of -4 on the road. All these factors point to a decisive victory for Peñarol in this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.2 pts / match - Cerro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 142% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Peñarol · 0.6 goals / match - Cerro
Peñarol is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.6 goals / match - Cerro
Peñarol scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Cerro scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Peñarol
Over / Under — Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Peñarol · 0.75 pts / match - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peñarol
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Peñarol 3 - 0 - 1 Cerro. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 3:1 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Cerro?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 3, Cerro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Cerro?
Peñarol score 1.45 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.60. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Peñarol's matches and 40% of Cerro's.
What form are Peñarol and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cerro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Cerro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.