Peñarol vs Cerro: match statistics
Peñarol holds a decisive advantage in all key statistics for this match. The hosts win 67% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal, which results in a positive goal difference of +3. On the other hand, Cerro have not won any away match this season, showing a 100% loss rate on the road and failing to score a single goal in away matches. The form of both teams also favors Peñarol – the hosts have earned 2 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Cerro have managed only 0.4 points. Additionally, Cerro have lost their last two away matches in a row and have a negative goal difference of -4 on the road. All these factors point to a decisive victory for Peñarol in this match.
Peñarol vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Peñarol played against Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Peñarol has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Cerro has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Peñarol scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 0.83. Cerro scores 0.33 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Peñarol's games and 33% of Cerro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 17%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Peñarol has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.26 per game. Peñarol takes 12.7 shots per game, while Cerro takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Peñarol leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Cerro leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Peñarol's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Cerro, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol holds a decisive advantage in all key statistics for this match. The hosts win 67% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal, which results in a positive goal difference of +3. On the other hand, Cerro have not won any away match this season, showing a 100% loss rate on the road and failing to score a single goal in away matches. The form of both teams also favors Peñarol – the hosts have earned 2 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Cerro have managed only 0.4 points. Additionally, Cerro have lost their last two away matches in a row and have a negative goal difference of -4 on the road. All these factors point to a decisive victory for Peñarol in this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.12 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Peñarol is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Peñarol · 0.4 pts / game - Cerro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 355% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Peñarol · 0.33 goals / game - Cerro
Peñarol is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Peñarol · 1.33 goals / game - Cerro
Peñarol scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 meczów).
Cerro scores in 33% of games (2 of 6 meczów), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Peñarol
Over / Under - Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Peñarol · 0.83 pts / game - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cerro - second-half results
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Peñarol
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.33 | 2.28 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Peñarol's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cerro. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 3:1 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Cerro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 2, Cerro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Cerro?
Peñarol score 1.50 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.33. The Primera División average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Peñarol's matches and 33% of Cerro's.
What form are Peñarol and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cerro 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Cerro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.