Peñarol vs Danubio: match statistics
Peñarol is showing impressive form in home matches with 100% efficiency (2 wins from 2 matches) and a +3 goal difference. The hosts average 2.5 goals per match at home, whereas Danubio scores a mere 0.5 goals on average in away games while conceding 2 per match. The disparity in efficiency is also evident in chance conversion—Peñarol achieves a 31% shot conversion rate at home, compared to just 9% for the visitors on the road. Danubio holds a negative goal difference (-3) in away matches and loses half of their fixtures on foreign soil. Although the form of both teams in the last 5 matches is similar (PPG 2.0), Peñarol's dominance at their own stadium and Danubio's offensive struggles away heavily favor the hosts. xG statistics also confirm Peñarol's advantage, making a home victory the most likely scenario.
Peñarol vs Danubio: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Peñarol played against Danubio in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Peñarol has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.25 points per game. Danubio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.
Scoring records
Peñarol scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 1.00. Danubio scores 1.25 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Peñarol's games and 25% of Danubio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 50%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Danubio has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.13 per game. Peñarol takes 11.5 shots per game, while Danubio takes 8.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Peñarol leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Danubio leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Peñarol's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Danubio, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol is showing impressive form in home matches with 100% efficiency (2 wins from 2 matches) and a +3 goal difference. The hosts average 2.5 goals per match at home, whereas Danubio scores a mere 0.5 goals on average in away games while conceding 2 per match. The disparity in efficiency is also evident in chance conversion—Peñarol achieves a 31% shot conversion rate at home, compared to just 9% for the visitors on the road. Danubio holds a negative goal difference (-3) in away matches and loses half of their fixtures on foreign soil. Although the form of both teams in the last 5 matches is similar (PPG 2.0), Peñarol's dominance at their own stadium and Danubio's offensive struggles away heavily favor the hosts. xG statistics also confirm Peñarol's advantage, making a home victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.54 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Peñarol is 29% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / game - Peñarol · 1.75 pts / game - Danubio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - Peñarol · 1.25 goals / game - Danubio
Peñarol is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Peñarol · 1.5 goals / game - Danubio
Peñarol scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
Danubio scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Peñarol
Over / Under - Danubio
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Peñarol · 0.75 pts / game - Danubio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Danubio - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Peñarol
Danubio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.75 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Peñarol's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Danubio. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Danubio?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 1:1 Danubio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Danubio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 2, Danubio won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Danubio?
Peñarol score 1.75 goals per game on average and Danubio 1.25. The Primera División average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Peñarol's matches and 25% of Danubio's.
What form are Peñarol and Danubio in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Danubio 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Danubio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.