Peñarol vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Peñarol played against Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on November 23, 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

Peñarol has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Nacional has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Peñarol scores 1.74 goals per game and allows 0.90. Nacional scores 2.00 and allows 0.87. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 49% of Peñarol's games and 58% of Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 49% and 63%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Peñarol has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.81 per game. Peñarol takes 15.1 shots per game, while Nacional takes 14.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Peñarol leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Nacional leads at halftime in 39% and scores 1.08 after halftime.

When the teams score

Peñarol's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For Nacional, it is minutes 31-45+ (18 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

63Possession (%)37
PeñarolNacional
20Shots7
PeñarolNacional
7Shots on target2
PeñarolNacional
2.25xG0.97
PeñarolNacional
7Corners0
PeñarolNacional
70Dangerous attacks53
PeñarolNacional
15Fouls22
PeñarolNacional
5Cards6
PeñarolNacional

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.74Goals scored / game2
PeñarolNacional
0.9Goals allowed / game0.87
PeñarolNacional
58%Average possession54%
PeñarolNacional
5.59Shots on target / game5.39
PeñarolNacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.13Shots per game14.89
PeñarolNacional
5.59Shots on target5.39
PeñarolNacional
11.5%Shot conversion13.4%
PeñarolNacional
58%Possession54%
PeñarolNacional
1.87xG for1.81
PeñarolNacional
1.16xG against1.28
PeñarolNacional

Shooting quality

Peñarol: DominantNacional: Attacking
PeñarolNacional
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Peñarol is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Peñarol · 1.4 pts / game - Nacional

Peñarol
WLWWW
Season result split
64% W18% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-7-7
2.10 pts / game · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-1-3
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Nacional
DWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
63% W29% R8% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-11-3
2.18 pts / game · goal difference +43
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
10-6-2
Last 5 away
0-5-0
DDDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional is 15% better for: goals scored per game.

1.74 goals / game - Peñarol · 2 goals / game - Nacional

Peñarol scoring profile: very strong

Peñarol scores in 85% of games (33 of 39 meczów), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 meczów).

Nacional scoring profile: strong

Nacional scores in 79% of games (30 of 38 meczów), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 38% (15 of 39 meczów).

68Goals scored (season)76
PeñarolNacional
35Goals conceded (season)33
PeñarolNacional
2.64Average goals per game2.87
PeñarolNacional
9Goals scored (last 5)4
PeñarolNacional
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
PeñarolNacional

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal79%
PeñarolNacional
62%2 goals63%
PeñarolNacional
23%3 goals39%
PeñarolNacional
5%4 goals13%
PeñarolNacional

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal63%
PeñarolNacional
23%2 goals18%
PeñarolNacional
5%3 goals5%
PeñarolNacional
0%4 goals0%
PeñarolNacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time26%
PeñarolNacional
3%BTTS in both halves11%
PeñarolNacional
46%Scored in both halves45%
PeñarolNacional

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
PeñarolNacional
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
PeñarolNacional
40%BTTS - last 540%
PeñarolNacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
PeñarolNacional
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
PeñarolNacional
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
PeñarolNacional

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
PeñarolNacional
49%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
PeñarolNacional
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
PeñarolNacional

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Peñarol - half-time state
38% leading41% draw21% trailing
Nacional - half-time state
39% leading45% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per game (1st half)1.63
PeñarolNacional
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.92
PeñarolNacional
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
PeñarolNacional
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.42
PeñarolNacional
62%Clean sheet before half-time58%
PeñarolNacional
46%No goal before half-time45%
PeñarolNacional

After half-time (2nd half)

2.05Points per game (2nd half)2
PeñarolNacional
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)1.08
PeñarolNacional
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.37
PeñarolNacional
1.54Average goals (2nd half)1.45
PeñarolNacional
62%Clean sheet after half-time63%
PeñarolNacional
23%No goal after half-time32%
PeñarolNacional

Peñarol - second-half results

62% W21% R18% P
61
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
80
Second-half points
+24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding168%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nacional - second-half results

53% W42% R5% P
62
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
76
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Peñarol - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.40
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Nacional - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.80.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Peñarol
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
7
9
16-30
12
5
31-45
16
8
46-60
9
4
61-75
17
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
10
2
0-15
7
8
16-30
18
9
31-45
10
5
46-60
15
1
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Peñarol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
189%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

PeñarolLigaNacional
Average goals per game 2.642.33 2.87
Both teams scored 49%49% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 49%43% 63%
Clean sheets 38%31% 37%
Goal before half-time 72%61% 71%
Goal after half-time 92%74% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

José BurgosMatches officiated: 21
5.67Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 248%Home wins24%Draws28%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Peñarol's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Nacional. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

CA Peñarol
3 : 0
Club Nacional de Football
Club Nacional de Football
0 : 0
CA Peñarol
Club Nacional de Football
1 : 1
CA Peñarol

FAQ

What was the result of Peñarol vs Nacional?

The Primera División match finished Peñarol 2:2 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Nacional?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 1, Nacional won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Nacional?

Peñarol score 1.74 goals per game on average and Nacional 2.00. The Primera División average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Peñarol's matches and 58% of Nacional's.

What form are Peñarol and Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Nacional 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Nacional?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Peñarol vs Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.