Peñarol vs Wanderers: match statistics
Peñarol vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peñarol played Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 5 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Campeón del Siglo. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Wanderers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peñarol scores 1.59 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Wanderers scores 1.27 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peñarol 50%, Wanderers 50%. Over 2.5: Peñarol 45%, Wanderers 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.35. Peñarol: 14.6 shots per match, Wanderers: 10.3.
Match halves
Peñarol: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.95. Wanderers: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Peñarol: 76-90+ (12 goals). Wanderers: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol have the home advantage: they average 1.75 goals and 1.84 xG at home, while Wanderers score 1.45 goals and generate 1.39 xG away from home. The hosts also register significantly more shots on target per match—6.25 compared with 3.73—indicating a greater ability to create consistent danger. Peñarol concede an average of 1.08 goals at home, compared with 1.45 for Wanderers away, although the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 27% of their away matches. Wanderers’ current form is very strong, as they are unbeaten in their last five matches and have won four of them, with an 11:3 goal difference. Peñarol have also collected 10 points from their last five matches, while home advantage and superior chance-creation metrics give them a slight edge to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Peñarol kept a clean sheet in 55% of their matches this season, while both teams scored in just 36% of their games. The trend is even clearer across the hosts’ last five outings: they conceded only 0.4 goals per match, or 2 goals in total, and BTTS landed in just 20% of those fixtures. Wanderers have a high season BTTS rate of 64%, but this dropped to 40% over their last five matches, despite the team averaging 2.2 goals scored. The hosts are currently creating chances worth 1.63 xG per match, while Wanderers allow opponents 1.24 xG, so the most likely scenario is that Peñarol score, but their solid defence limits the visitors. The chance of a Wanderers goal remains realistic; however, Peñarol’s current defensive form and the hosts’ historically low BTTS frequency suggest that at least one side will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: Peñarol finished 91% of their matches below this line, while Wanderers did so in 82%. The hosts have a very solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.82 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 55% of their appearances. The current form of both teams also limits the potential for a high-scoring game, with Peñarol conceding 2 goals and Wanderers 3 in their last five matches. Although the visitors have recently averaged 2.2 goals scored, their xG over that period stands at just 1.18, suggesting a possible regression in finishing efficiency against a well-organized home defense. The projected total of 2.38 goals indicates a realistic chance of going Over 1.5, but the 3.5 line offers by far the greatest margin of safety.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Peñarol were level after 45 minutes in 6 of 11 home matches, or 55% of the time, while Wanderers recorded a half-time draw in as many as 60% of their last five games. Both teams tend to start cautiously: Peñarol average 0.64 goals scored and 0.45 conceded in the first half, while Wanderers score 0.45 and concede 0.55. After the break, the arguments shift in favour of the home side, who concede just 0.36 goals in the second half at home and keep a clean sheet in 82% of such periods. Peñarol also have a clearly better home defeat rate, at just 18%, compared with Wanderers' 45% away-loss rate, which supports a late turnaround in a closely contested match. The visitors' strong form, with 80% wins in their last five appearances, increases the risk of an X/2 scenario, but Peñarol's defensive solidity makes X/1 the strongest single pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wanderers is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Peñarol · 2.6 pts / match - Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.27 goals / match - Wanderers
Peñarol is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.14 goals / match - Wanderers
Peñarol scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Wanderers scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Peñarol
Over / Under — Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.41 pts / match - Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peñarol
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.37 | • 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 28% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- PeñarolGoalCristian Jaime
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Peñarol 3 - 0 - 1 Wanderers. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 5:1 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Wanderers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 3, Wanderers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Wanderers?
Peñarol score 1.59 goals per game on average and Wanderers 1.27. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Peñarol's matches and 50% of Wanderers's.
What form are Peñarol and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Wanderers 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Wanderers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Peñarol vs Wanderers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.