Penybont vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Penybont play Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 26 December 2025 at 15:30. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Penybont: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Briton Ferry: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Penybont scores 1.21 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 1.44 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Penybont 38%, Briton Ferry 56%. Over 2.5: Penybont 41%, Briton Ferry 56%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Briton Ferry has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.40. Penybont: 10.3 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 10.7.

Match halves

Penybont: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.66.

Goals by minute

Penybont: 46-60 (11 goals). Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

33Possession (%)67
PenybontBriton Ferry
8Shots15
PenybontBriton Ferry
2Shots on target7
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.06xG2.08
PenybontBriton Ferry
4Corners7
PenybontBriton Ferry
55Dangerous attacks88
PenybontBriton Ferry
9Fouls10
PenybontBriton Ferry
5Cards3
PenybontBriton Ferry

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PenybontBriton Ferry
1.21Goals scored / match1.44
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.44Goals conceded / match1.47
PenybontBriton Ferry
49%Average possession49%
PenybontBriton Ferry
3.68Shots on target / match4.66
PenybontBriton Ferry

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.29Shots per match10.69
PenybontBriton Ferry
3.68Shots on target4.66
PenybontBriton Ferry
11.7%Shot conversion13.5%
PenybontBriton Ferry
49%Possession49%
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.4xG for1.44
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.46xG against1.53
PenybontBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

Penybont: BalancedBriton Ferry: Efficient finishing
PenybontBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)36%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Briton Ferry is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Penybont · 2 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Penybont
DLLDW
Season result split
35% W26% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-13
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Briton Ferry
WDLWW
Season result split
38% W28% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-11
1.41 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Briton Ferry is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Penybont · 1.44 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Penybont scoring profile: strong

Penybont scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: strong

Briton Ferry scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

41Goals scored (season)46
PenybontBriton Ferry
49Goals conceded (season)47
PenybontBriton Ferry
2.65Average goals in match2.91
PenybontBriton Ferry
2Goals scored (last 5)7
PenybontBriton Ferry
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
PenybontBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal72%
PenybontBriton Ferry
32%2 goals53%
PenybontBriton Ferry
15%3 goals16%
PenybontBriton Ferry
12%4 goals3%
PenybontBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal75%
PenybontBriton Ferry
38%2 goals47%
PenybontBriton Ferry
18%3 goals13%
PenybontBriton Ferry
12%4 goals9%
PenybontBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time25%
PenybontBriton Ferry
9%BTTS in both halves9%
PenybontBriton Ferry
18%Scored in both halves28%
PenybontBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
PenybontBriton Ferry
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
PenybontBriton Ferry
0%BTTS - last 540%
PenybontBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
PenybontBriton Ferry
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
PenybontBriton Ferry
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
PenybontBriton Ferry

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
PenybontBriton Ferry
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
PenybontBriton Ferry
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
PenybontBriton Ferry

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Briton Ferry is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.03 pts / match - Penybont · 1.53 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Penybont - half-time state
18% leading50% draw32% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
34% leading50% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.03Points per match (1st half)1.53
PenybontBriton Ferry
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.78
PenybontBriton Ferry
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.31
PenybontBriton Ferry
59%Clean sheet before half-time63%
PenybontBriton Ferry
71%No goal before half-time44%
PenybontBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per match (2nd half)1.25
PenybontBriton Ferry
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.66
PenybontBriton Ferry
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.59
PenybontBriton Ferry
50%Clean sheet after half-time41%
PenybontBriton Ferry
53%No goal after half-time56%
PenybontBriton Ferry

Penybont - second-half results

35% W35% R29% P
35
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

31% W31% R38% P
49
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Penybont - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.00.2
1 goal60%20%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Briton Ferry - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Penybont
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
2
10
16-30
7
4
31-45
11
13
46-60
6
3
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
7
3
16-30
10
8
31-45
7
12
46-60
9
8
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Penybont

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

PenybontLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals in match 2.652.87 2.91
Both teams scored 38%50% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%53% 56%
Clean sheets 38%29% 25%
Goal before half-time 59%73% 69%
Goal after half-time 71%75% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Penybont 0 - 1 - 0 Briton Ferry. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
0 : 0
Penybont FC

FAQ

What was the result of Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 1:1 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

Penybont score 1.21 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.44. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Penybont's matches and 56% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are Penybont and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Briton Ferry 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for Penybont vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.