Penybont vs Cardiff MU: match statistics
Penybont occupies a higher table position (3rd place) and holds a solid home record with 50% home wins, yet their recent form raises concerns – only 1 win in the last 5 matches (1.2 PPG). Cardiff MU presents itself as a tough away opponent with a high draw percentage (50% in away matches) and better scoring efficiency (1.7 goals on average per away match vs 1.4 for Penybont at home). A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.67 vs 1.32), suggesting better quality of chances created, but Cardiff MU rarely loses away (20% losses). Given Penybont's weaker form in recent weeks and Cardiff MU's tendency to draw on the road, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to home turf.
Penybont vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Penybont played against Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on January 13, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Penybont has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Cardiff MU has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Penybont scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.43. Cardiff MU scores 1.52 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Penybont's games and 67% of Cardiff MU's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 67%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Penybont has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.41 per game. Penybont takes 10.9 shots per game, while Cardiff MU takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Penybont leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Cardiff MU leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Penybont's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Cardiff MU, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont occupies a higher table position (3rd place) and holds a solid home record with 50% home wins, yet their recent form raises concerns – only 1 win in the last 5 matches (1.2 PPG). Cardiff MU presents itself as a tough away opponent with a high draw percentage (50% in away matches) and better scoring efficiency (1.7 goals on average per away match vs 1.4 for Penybont at home). A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.67 vs 1.32), suggesting better quality of chances created, but Cardiff MU rarely loses away (20% losses). Given Penybont's weaker form in recent weeks and Cardiff MU's tendency to draw on the road, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to home turf.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Penybont is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Penybont · 1.2 pts / game - Cardiff MU
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - Penybont · 1.52 goals / game - Cardiff MU
Penybont is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Penybont · 1.67 goals / game - Cardiff MU
Penybont scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Cardiff MU scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Penybont
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Penybont · 1.05 pts / game - Cardiff MU
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Penybont
Cardiff MU
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.10 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Penybont's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Cardiff MU. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Penybont vs Cardiff MU?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 1:1 Cardiff MU. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Cardiff MU?
Penybont score 1.67 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.52. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Penybont's matches and 67% of Cardiff MU's.
What form are Penybont and Cardiff MU in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cardiff MU 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Cardiff MU?
The statistical background for Penybont vs Cardiff MU — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.