Penybont vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Connah's Quay are displaying significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with a record of 14 wins, while Penybont are in 3rd position with 11 victories. Connah's Quay boast an impressive away win percentage (58%) and a superior goal difference (51:28 vs 36:37). The last five matches confirm the visitors' advantage – averaging 1.8 points per game and an unbeaten run (2W-3D) compared to the hosts' weaker form (1.2 points, 1W-3D-1L). Penybont have been struggling in recent home fixtures, evident in a run of 4 consecutive draws. Connah's Quay fail to score less frequently on the road (17% vs 33% for the hosts at home) and possess a higher conversion rate (15% vs 12%), giving them a genuine chance of victory. Considering all indicators, the away side are the favourites for this encounter.
Penybont vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Penybont played against Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Penybont has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Connah's Quay has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Penybont scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.54. Connah's Quay scores 2.13 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 3.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Penybont's games and 67% of Connah's Quay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 75%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.51 per game. Penybont takes 10.7 shots per game, while Connah's Quay takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Penybont leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 46% and scores 1.21 after halftime.
When the teams score
Penybont's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Connah's Quay, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.05 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay are displaying significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with a record of 14 wins, while Penybont are in 3rd position with 11 victories. Connah's Quay boast an impressive away win percentage (58%) and a superior goal difference (51:28 vs 36:37). The last five matches confirm the visitors' advantage – averaging 1.8 points per game and an unbeaten run (2W-3D) compared to the hosts' weaker form (1.2 points, 1W-3D-1L). Penybont have been struggling in recent home fixtures, evident in a run of 4 consecutive draws. Connah's Quay fail to score less frequently on the road (17% vs 33% for the hosts at home) and possess a higher conversion rate (15% vs 12%), giving them a genuine chance of victory. Considering all indicators, the away side are the favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Connah's Quay is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Penybont · 1.8 pts / game - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Penybont · 2.13 goals / game - Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.54 goals / game - Penybont · 1.17 goals / game - Connah's Quay
Penybont scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
Connah's Quay scores in 92% of games (22 of 24 meczów), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Penybont
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Penybont · 1.75 pts / game - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Penybont
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.04 | 3.05 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Penybont's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Connah's Quay. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Penybont vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 0:0 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and Connah's Quay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Penybont won 0, Connah's Quay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Connah's Quay?
Penybont score 1.50 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.13. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Penybont's matches and 67% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Penybont and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Connah's Quay?
The statistical background for Penybont vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.