Pérez Zeledón vs Alajuelense: match statistics

Alajuelense have shown clearly better form in their last five matches, collecting 9 points from 3 wins, while Pérez Zeledón have managed just 4 points. The visitors scored 8 goals during this period, compared with only 2 for the hosts, highlighting the difference in attacking efficiency. Alajuelense average 2 goals per away match and have failed to score in none of those games, whereas Pérez Zeledón average just 0.5 goals at home and have been held scoreless in 50% of their matches. Both teams concede 0.5 goals per match at home or away, but the visitors create better-quality defensive situations, allowing an xG of 1.19 compared with the hosts’ 1.62. Alajuelense’s superior shot conversion rate—17% versus 4% for Pérez Zeledón—supports an away win, although the hosts’ solid defensive record increases the likelihood of a draw.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Pérez Zeledón’s poor current scoring form: over their last 5 matches, the team averaged just 0.4 goals, with both teams scoring in only 20% of those games. Alajuelense kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season and concede an average of 0.5 goals per game, making it significantly harder for the hosts to break through. The visitors are the favorites to score, as they average 2.0 goals per match, while Pérez Zeledón have not kept a clean sheet once and conceded 1.4 goals across their last five appearances. Although the hosts create an average of 1.69 xG, their 9% shooting conversion rate and a run of just 2 goals in five matches support a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Alajuelense scores an average of 2.00 goals per match, but its defense concedes only 0.50 goals and has kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches, limiting the hosts’ attacking prospects. Pérez Zeledón has scored just 0.40 goals per game in its last five matches, and only 20% of its games during this period went Over 2.5 goals. The hosts have allowed opponents an xG of 1.75 in their last five matches, while Alajuelense generates 1.57 xG, meaning the visitors should have a clearer share of the projected 2.30 goals. At the same time, both teams have seen 100% of their league matches finish Under 3.5 goals, making the Under 3.5 line the strongest safety net given the expected scoreline of around 0:1 or 1:1.

The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time, as both teams have been level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, while Pérez Zeledón have scored just 0.2 goals per game in that period. Alajuelense, however, have a clear advantage in current form: across their last five appearances, they have averaged 1.6 goals and 1.8 points per match, compared with the hosts’ 0.4 goals and 0.8 points. After the break, the visitors have averaged 1.0 goals scored and conceded just 0.2 in their last five matches, whereas Pérez Zeledón have scored only 0.2 goals in this period and conceded 1.2. Alajuelense also boast the stronger defense over the season, conceding an average of 0.5 goals compared with the hosts’ 1.0. Therefore, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an away win at full-time (X/2).